Analysis of The postponement of Mr Lam’s duty in Beijing and the establishment or deployment of the Bauhinia Party of the New Hong Kong people to govern Hong Kong

A number of Hong Kong media reported recently that Chief Executive Carrie Lam Cheng Yuet-ngor’s scheduled visit to Beijing in mid-December has been postponed, and may not travel to Beijing until January next year when the epidemic improves. This is the first time since the handover that a Hong Kong chief executive has been delayed in Beijing. Coupled with recent media reports, the emergence of the Bauhinia Party, a group of Chinese-backed “new Hongkongers”, could replace the old Hong Kong establishment as a new political force in Beijing’s overall governance of Hong Kong.

Some pro-democracy legislators see the latest signs as political signals that Beijing is so unhappy with Mrs Lam that it believes the 2022 election could start early.

In the 23 years since the handover of Hong Kong, every chief executive has visited Beijing in mid-December. Current Chief Executive Carrie Lam has followed this routine for the past three years. However, several pro-Beijing media outlets in Hong Kong reported on Monday that Mrs Lam’s visit this year had been postponed due to the COVID-19 outbreak.

For the first time, ce’s work schedule has been postponed

One column sing tao daily quoted sources said secretary lam supposed to four Monday last week (December 10 to 14), to Beijing to meet with the central leaders, however, she finally got an answer about the trip was postponed, may to improve before January outbreak north reporting on activities, this is the first time since the handover of Hong Kong’s chief executive duty visit schedule was postponed, caused the attention from all walks of life.

Mrs Lam was asked by reporters before attending the Executive Council on Tuesday (December 15) whether her work visit had been postponed. She replied that the timing of the visit was decided by the Central government and she would wait to inform The capital. She did not have any details at the moment and would announce when she had them.

Ching Xiang analyses bauhinia Party’s Purge of “Old Port people”

Many commentators in Hong Kong have compared the postponing of Mrs Lam’s work in Beijing to recent media reports that the Bauhinia Party, founded by a group of Chinese-backed “new Hong Kongers”, has taken the world by storm.

Cheng Xiang, a current affairs commentator, recently wrote in The Hong Kong news, an online newspaper, that the Bauhinia Party, which claims to have 250, 000 members, is “directly affiliated” with the Chinese Communist Party, and that it would draw on the experience of xibaipo (the arrangement to take over the whole of China) to achieve a full takeover of Hong Kong.

Ching integrating recent Hong Kong public opinion direction, analysis of Chinese redbud party was born, the sign of the communist party of China to the citizens of Hong Kong, the Hong Kong government and its governance team, as well as Hong Kong leftist groups thoroughly disappointed and distrust, making some major moves at the same time, including cleaning “old Hong Kong people” and rectify the Hong Kong SAR government and the legislature, rectify the traditional organizational system, the impact of Hong Kong politics.

Mr Lam pointed to the possibility of an early election for the chief executive

In an interview with VOA, Democratic Party Vice Chairman and former lawmaker Raymond Lam said recent signs are political messages that reflect Beijing’s deep dissatisfaction with Mrs. Lam, including her handling of the COVID-19 epidemic that has left Hong Kong in dire straits, and that he believes the 2022 chief executive election could go to war early.

Lin Zhuoting, deputy chairman of the Democratic Party and a former legislator, said signs such as the postponement of Chief Executive Carrie Lam’s performance in Beijing reflected Beijing’s dissatisfaction with her and he believed the 2022 election could go to war sooner. (VOA News/Tang Huiyun)

“I think the series of attacks on her online by the left, the Bauhinia Party and the Legislature, and the postponement of her (Mrs Lam) visit by Beijing are actually a political message,” Mr Lam said. No matter how effective she has been in fighting against the epidemic or even in dealing with social conflicts in Hong Kong, we all see that she is completely incompetent as a chief executive. As a result, Hong Kong is now in dire straits. So I think Beijing is watching to send her a message and to allow those leftists to lash her online and in the press, so the next election may be an early one, and both sides of the Leung Chun-ying camp and the Lam Cheng Cheng camp will be fighting.”

Beijing deployed a “new Hong Kong people” to replace the traditional establishment

The pro-democracy camp won its first landslide victory in the district Council elections held during the anti-Pro-democracy movement at the end of November last year, taking 86 per cent of the seats. Citing the seriousness of the epidemic, Lam requested the Standing Committee of the National People’s Congress (NPC) to postpone the legislative Council elections scheduled for September 6 this year for at least one year.

Some analysts pointed out that the unprecedented postponement of the Legislative Council election was out of the desire to avoid a repeat of the disastrous defeat of the establishment party in the District Council election last year.

Lin Zhuoting analysis, by many in the world of finance other “new Hong Kong people” founded by Chinese redbud party, and a series of mainland China’s attack on traditional left Hong Kong think-tank scholars, issued a warning signal to them is, and dissatisfaction with traditional organizational system sent unpopular, does not exclude Beijing deployed by the “new people in Hong Kong” instead of the traditional organizational system.

Lin Zhuoting said: “the Chinese redbud party and a string of mainland (China) the so-called think-tank scholar, the attack on traditional left Hong Kong, are also issued a warning signal to them, because they have so many years in Hong Kong is completely can’t do (Beijing) the central request their political achievements, but waste a great deal of the stability, the mainland is completely deserted him. So when you see the tolerance of the mainland for the traditional Left in Hong Kong, I think it’s close to the limit, and it’s always possible to find mainland Chinese or ‘new Hong Kongers’ to take their place.”

Mr Tam pointed to the Macau model of “new Hong Kong people” governing Hong Kong

Civic Party deputy chairman and former legislator Tam Wing-ho told VOA he expected the bauhinia Party to be formed. He argues that Beijing has written a “script” for a full takeover of Hong Kong since the handover in 1997, and is simply putting it on the stage early.

Mr Tam said: “Even if we first find some pro-Beijing people to run Hong Kong, it will gradually become the direct management of Hong Kong. It (Beijing) is only talking about this issue now. It is now how to turn the concept of comprehensive governance into a concrete action to achieve what it calls comprehensive governance. And this overall governance, I think, is at the beginning of the return [to sovereignty]. It’s really a playbook, just when and how fast.”

Referring to the model of Beijing’s governance of Macao, Mr Tam said it was possible to predict that Hong Kong’s political situation would change in the same way and that “new Hong Kong people” would probably govern Hong Kong in the future.

Former legislator And deputy chairman of the Civic Party, Tam Man-ho, said he had expected the Bauhinia Party to be formed within his own expectations. “If we look at the way Beijing governs Macao, we will see the same changes in Hong Kong politics,” he said. “In the future, Hong Kong will probably be governed by the” new Hong Kong people “. (VOA News/Tang Huiyun)

‘You see macau is already like this,’ Mr. Tam says. Even if you look at Macao at an earlier time has changed, if my impression is not wrong, some directors have been ‘new Macao people’. So if you look at what’s happening in Macau, you know what’s going to happen in Hong Kong. In fact, it is quite simple, everyone has been around for 20 years, we have been a little longer, two years, but you see what happened in Macau, otherwise it would have happened in Hong Kong.”

Mr Lui said Mr Lam had not been adjourned for his duty report because of poor performance

A former television reporter Chinese Baptist university journalism senior lecturer Lv Bingquan interview with voa, said secretary lam was large, and the mainland China and Hong Kong COVID – 19 outbreak again and again, and the change of international situation, such as the United States president-elect Joe biden, the incoming, to Beijing leaders schedule change, he thought not necessarily because of dissatisfaction with Beijing secretary lam’s performance.

Mr Lui, a senior lecturer in the department of Journalism at Baptist University, said the Bauhinia Party did not necessarily have a mandate from Beijing or a strong background, and its style was not accepted by Hong Kong people. He did not think it would win seats even if it entered the legislative council elections in the future. (VOA News/Tang Huiyun)

“Some people in the establishment say that the worse and more problems she (Lam) has, the more she (she) needs to be summoned to [Beijing] to ‘take her lungs’ (to be instructed),” He said. How my own view is that she’s performance, instead of reporting on activities of time is the most important factor, but I think it is (Beijing) leader’s agenda, and playing (epidemic) disease, the epidemic prevention manager secretary (lam) want to leave, may make the outbreak further out of control, the reason of these larger.”

The Bauhinia Party is unlikely to win seats

For Chinese redbud the party’s establishment, Lv Bingquan analysis, against revisionism example movement during the late last year, China’s state-owned assets supervision and administration commission hundreds had summoned the head of the Chinese state-owned enterprises in the meeting, asking them to further stationed in Hong Kong, he thinks that Chinese redbud party is try the ball of organization in Hong Kong and Beijing, however, he thinks that Chinese redbud party was appointed in Beijing is not practical, or really have a strong background behind, and the party’s style of Chinese redbud is not accepted by the people of Hong Kong, he think that even if the future into the legislative council elections, all may not be able to grab seats.

Lv Bingquan said: “(cercis chinensis) in Hong Kong to follow some bicameral form, and some will be the party’s flag, the surface looked very high, make may even people are not necessarily accept to support organizational system, follow close (250000) claimed that the number of party members are very aggressive, I think it is a bit not well suited to Hong Kong.”

In a recent article in Ming Pao, the commentator Huang Weiguo asked whether Beijing had abandoned the traditional establishment or civil servants as the chief executive and instead chosen the future chief executive with a group of ideologically consistent and more loyal “Newport” elites. Will the Bauhinia Party, or the financial and business elite representing this political force, join the election campaign to challenge Mrs Lam for a second term, or even To challenge Leung Chun-ying, who is rumored to be running for the office again? In 2021, the internal contradictions between the old and the new forces of building Hong Kong will surely shake the political landscape of Hong Kong’s ruling class.