The increasing activities of Chinese Communist Party warplanes deployed in the Taiwan Strait to disturb Taiwan has led to increased tensions in the Taiwan Strait. White House documents recently declassified by the U.S. show that the U.S. would support the defense of Taiwan if the Chinese Communist Party attacked it.
Whether the Chinese Communist Party will unify Taiwan by force and its timetable have recently become the focus of international attention. The United States recently warned that the Chinese Communist Party may commit Taiwan in the next six years. Scholars have analyzed that the Chinese Communist Party’s frequent messages of forceful invasion of Taiwan are actually just a strategy, as the Chinese Communist Party knows that if it rashly attacks Taiwan, it will be the time of the Communist Party’s demise, that is, the “first war is the final war”. The CCP’s target is not Taiwan.
In recent years, Chinese military aircraft have frequently disturbed Taiwan. Admiral Philip S. Davidson, commander of the U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, recently told a House Armed Services Committee hearing that the Chinese Communist Party could attack Taiwan within six years.
“The pressure within the Chinese Communist Party is on the verge of a tipping point.”
In an exclusive interview with Epoch Times, Professor Qiu Shiyi of the Department of Political Science at Tunghai University said, “The CCP’s goal is actually aimed at the South China Sea, not the armed reunification of Taiwan.” Many of the moves made by the CCP are for the internal Chinese people, including the recently introduced Maritime Police Law.
In addition, it is worth observing that “whenever the Chinese Communist Party releases to the outside world that it wants to violate Taiwan by force, it is the time when the internal struggle is most intense. Qiu Shiyi said.
For example, China’s GDP growth has slowed, its supply chain has been cut off, its high-tech industries are under U.S. siege, and its economy has been curtailed, which has led to a near-success in maintaining stability within the Communist Party. In particular, Chinese President Xi Jinping is facing the challenge of whether he can survive the 20th National Congress in 2022 and meet the next term smoothly.
Qiu Shiyi said, “When China’s economy is good, the CCP is more rational in its diplomacy, but when the economy is down, it will adopt a war-wolf diplomacy, which is the habit of the Communist Party. “
The more the Chinese Communist Party releases the smell of smoke and mirrors of forceful crimes against Taiwan, he said bluntly, it means that the pressure of internal strife in the Chinese Communist Party is rising rapidly, and the national power is facing serious challenges, which is why it needs to use the topic of armed unification of Taiwan to shift the focus.
“War Wolf Diplomacy Shows Weakness of Communist China’s National Power”
Qiu Shiyi further analyzed that in recent years, the U.S. has shifted its relationship with the CCP from appeasement to strength, and has started to strike back economically and militarily, thus exposing many weaknesses of the CCP and leaving it in internal and external difficulties. Whether it is harassment of Taiwan or the announcement of the Maritime Police Act, “this is the CCP blowing the whistle in the middle of the night to strengthen its courage and first find a way to respond to the image of shaping (maintaining) stability within the Chinese line.” He said that the Chinese Communist Party believes that the best way to get out of the dilemma, the best kettle of fish is to weaken the United States in the international power, and the South China Sea is the breakthrough.
He believes that, in view of this, the Chinese Communist Party can never do the unification of Taiwan within six years, because now under the worldwide siege of the Chinese Communist Party, it is difficult to make a move on Taiwan. He bluntly said that the Chinese Communist Party does not dare to fight Taiwan, when the Chinese Communist Party fights Taiwan is the time of the Communist Party’s demise.
He also said that even so, Taiwan should not be complacent and should continue to strengthen its national defense strength, “as long as Taiwan does not fear war, Taiwan is the safest.”
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