Unigroup Mainland international bond double default probability bankruptcy

On December 10, Unigroup issued a notice saying that the group was unable to pay the due international debt of 450 million US dollars. On the same day, there was also a default of its bond “18 Unigroup 04”. After the default of both international and domestic bonds of the group, some industry insiders said that the group was likely to go into bankruptcy reorganization.

According to Caixin, on December 10, the company’s largest remaining bond, 18 Unigroup 04, announced that the bond should pay interest of RMB260m for the past year on December 10, 2020. As of Dec. 10, the company failed to pay interest on the bonds for the current year. “18 Violet 04” was issued on December 7, 2018, with an issue size of 5 billion YUAN and a term of 5 years, with an option to adjust the coupon rate and an investor call back option at the end of the third year.

On the same day, the company said in a statement on the Stock exchange that it had also defaulted on the principal and interest of its $450 million overseas debt, with a coupon of 6.0%. It also triggered cross – default clauses on three $2 billion bonds.

Prior to this, on November 16, the vote on the renewal proposal of “17 PPN005”, a 1.3-billion-yuan private placement bond issued by The Group in 2017, was invalid, and the group failed to honor the 1.3-billion-yuan private placement bond with a coupon of 5.6%. Therefore, the Group officially defaulted in the bond market.

Less than a month after the company defaulted on its first bond, credit Suisse Group International, a ratings agency, downgraded the company’s main and debt ratings from BBB to B, according to Reuters.

In the 10 days after the default of Unisplendour Group, Caixin quoted a number of market analysts as saying that unisplendour Group is heading for bankruptcy reorganization of the outcome.

Industrial research to this, as a result of unisplar group failed to “17 UNisplar PPN005” and investors reached an agreement to extend, the subsequent unisplar group will likely enter bankruptcy reorganization procedures. According to its estimation, under the benchmark, optimistic and pessimistic scenarios, the recovery rates of unisplar group’s common debt are 26.9%, 45.5% and 15.6%, respectively.

Wang Jian, a commentator, said unisplendour’s downfall was caused partly by excessive mergers and acquisitions and partly by an over-reliance on bonds. The chip cycle is long, and Unisplendour has a lot of mergers and acquisitions, and many of these companies are losing money, to borrow money to keep these companies until they make money. It’s no surprise that the economy is slowing, it’s not easy to issue debt, and these school-run companies are often hollowed out.

Unisplendour is favored by the Chinese communist party for making chips and is considered part of the “national team” of the communist Party.

Some people believe that the plight of Unisplit group is a manifestation of the plight of mainland enterprises. In the context of economic downturn, debts have been continuously burst. Since October this year, mainland state-owned enterprises have successively defaulted, which has now extended to other large enterprises and spread from the mainland to the international market.

Wang jian believes that the mainland bond default peak has not yet arrived, the first half of next year will be a peak in default, when many large companies may disappear.