Official media through the three stages of the attack on Taiwan, the U.S. and Japan put forward to protect Taiwan

Just as Xi Jinping’s “July 1” speech called for “resolutely crushing any attempt at ‘Taiwan independence'” and adhering to the “one-China principle “and hinted at the threat of force, the mainland magazine Ship Knowledge published an article and video depicting the three stages of the Chinese Communist military’s “armed unification of Taiwan. This was reported by Voice of America and RFE/RL.

The three phases of a Communist attack on Taiwan are as follows: In the first phase, Communist forces would launch a ballistic missile attack on Taiwan with the goal of destroying Taiwan’s airports, early warning radars, anti-aircraft missile bases, and information gathering and decision-making facilities such as command centers located throughout the island. Communist forces may use East Wind-16 short-range ballistic missiles to break through Taiwan’s missile defense system.

In the second phase, missiles such as Hawk-91 and Rapier-10 cruise missiles would be launched from land, warships and submarines to intensively bombard Taiwan’s military bases, arsenals, radar, communications infrastructure and highways and other key routes.

The third phase involved surface ships and land-based rocket forces jointly launching heavy artillery bombardment to clear the final obstacles for the landing of Communist marines and amphibious landing forces on Taiwan.

Since Ship Knowledge, founded in 1979, is titled by Xu Qianqiang, one of the top ten marshals of the Communist Party, and has a military background, the articles and videos it publishes have considerable credibility.

Since its articles are credible, it is very likely that such articles are published against the backdrop of the Chinese Communist Party’s repeated releases on the reunification of Taiwan with China and its increased harassment of Taiwan, and its blatant calls for war are at the behest of the military, that is, in line with the ambitions of the “Xi core”.

You should know that in February last year, “Ship Knowledge” published a “Taiwan Strait Strike Battle Rehearsal”, and in July its microblog also published a “general map of Taiwan’s troop deployment”, which it said was a way to show off its “insight into Taiwan’s troop deployment” and was “essential for formulating During the “two sessions” in 2020, the Chinese Communist Party also released signals of assertiveness toward Taiwan. This drew the attention of the Taiwanese media, and naturally public opinion was on edge.

Now, the CCP has gone a step further, from disclosing the deployment of Taiwan’s military forces to releasing the CCP’s military operational plan, which on the one hand sends a signal that the CCP is going crazy, but on the other hand, it inevitably raises questions: Where did the CCP get the confidence to disclose its operational plan? Or is it just a sign of the weakness of the Chinese government?

In this regard, some analysts believe that it is not as easy for the CCP to unify Taiwan as it claims, although it knows a lot about the deployment of the Taiwanese army, but the Taiwanese army cannot stand still and be beaten, and the Taiwanese air defense missiles are not paper thin. More critically, the CCP’s projection and battle plan did not include the variables of U.S. and Japanese intervention.

Just ask, are the U.S. Navy, Air Force, Space Force, cyber forces, drones, missiles and Japan’s Self-Defense Forces vegetarians? According to the Chinese Communist Party, it takes 2 to 3 weeks to rally and mobilize before launching a battle in the Taiwan Strait. Wouldn’t a massive military movement be detected by the U.S. military? Wouldn’t the U.S. military find out about the massive troop movement? Wouldn’t they plan in advance how to repel the attack of the Chinese Communist forces? What if the U.S. forces had penetrated the CCP’s chain of command? Moreover, whether the Chinese believe it or not, in terms of military strength, there is a huge gap between the CCP and the U.S. military in many aspects, and even if the CCP military had the first chance, the outcome would never be optimistic. The Chinese Communist Party knows this very well. Therefore, the most important aspect of the battle in the Taiwan Strait is the attitude of the United States and Japan toward Taiwan.

At present, the U.S. and other Western countries have given major concerns about the risk of a CCP attack on Taiwan. In addition to strengthening military cooperation and holding multinational military exercises to deter the CCP, they have also provided Taiwan with more high-end offensive weapons to strengthen Taiwan’s defense capabilities. The U.S. and Japanese senior officials have also made a rare strong statement.

Just a short time ago, Japanese Vice Minister of Defense Yasuhide Nakayama voiced his opinion that he sees Taiwan as his brother and family and wants to protect Taiwan as “a democratic country,” and former U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo stated that the U.S. would prevent an attack on Taiwan “from happening,” then the U.S. and Japan Two more senior officials have spoken out forcefully again on the Taiwan issue.

On June 29, Sam Paparo, commander of the U.S. Pacific Fleet, said he was deeply concerned about the threat of an advance by the Chinese Communist Party. “Whether (the timing of the attack on Taiwan) is tomorrow, next year or six years from now, it doesn’t make any difference to me. In the Pacific Fleet and Indo-Pacific Command, it is our responsibility to be prepared to deal with the security threats facing the United States.” He also said he has a responsibility to prevent the Chinese Communist Party from seizing Taiwan by force. He is confident in his forces, allies and operational planning to thwart any such attempt by the Chinese Communist Party.

Moreover, according to him, the U.S. Navy’s Fourth, Second and Third Fleets are ready to deploy where they are needed. In addition, U.S. Special Forces are proposed to “help strengthen Taiwan’s irregular warfare capabilities. Beijing must think twice about what is meant here.

After the U.S. military’s strong statement, on July 5, Japanese Deputy Prime Minister and Finance Minister Taro Aso proposed that if the Chinese Communist Party violates Taiwan by force, Japan can exercise its right to collective self-defense, and the United States and Japan should jointly defend Taiwan. This is seen as the highest level statement Japan has made so far on the Taiwan Strait issue. This naturally made the Chinese Communist Party furious, and the spokesman of the Chinese Foreign Ministry and the spokesman of the Taiwan Affairs Office used the usual clichés to accuse Japan.

The problem is that since the U.S. and Japanese senior officials dare to make such a statement, it means that they have indeed regarded the CCP as the biggest threat and responded to it with an unprecedented state of alert, so of course they do not care about any reaction from the CCP.

In addition, some U.S. think tanks have recently argued that if the U.S. is serious about confronting the CCP’s military in the Pacific, it needs to permanently station an armored brigade in Taiwan. This view is that by deploying an armored brigade and other related military equipment on the island of Taiwan, the Army could use mobile ground firepower against invading ground forces and even against maritime targets.