Zhao Pei: On April 30, 2021, the cover article of the British magazine The Economist described Taiwan as “the most dangerous place on earth”, which once again put Taiwan on the limelight.
Once again, the media is speculating on the Taiwan Strait crisis because they need to do so to get attention. Take the video content on YouTube for example, if the headline of the news has words like “Taiwan Strait crisis, Chinese Communist Party’s strategic deployment, this is how to fight Taiwan”, the click rate will be high.
Why? Because the Taiwanese audience on YouTube is the mainstream, so the hype on the title will bring a lot of hits. But the media’s constant hype will put Taiwan in a very awkward and unsettling situation, because if there is a crisis in the Taiwan Strait, overseas investors will not come, and Taiwanese people will be on edge about whether there is a cloud of war, and society will be unstable.
Shortly after the Economist article was published, Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen immediately said on Facebook, “Although the threat from China to Taiwan does exist, the government definitely has the ability to manage all possible risks and build a security barrier for Taiwan.” Tsai actually wanted to appease the people first, and second, to ensure the safety of overseas investments.
Let’s move on to the moves of the Chinese Communist Party. The CCP has not only been threatening Taiwan frequently in its rhetoric, but has also been provocative in its military actions, such as fighter jets crossing the center line in the Taiwan Strait and other actions, all of which are intended to create a crisis situation in the Taiwan Strait. As soon as the CCP has provocative actions, various media started to report that the CCP is going to attack Taiwan.
But the Communist Party can’t do that now, for reasons we’ll explain below. Its aim is to make Taiwan people live a bad life, trembling in fear, and the media is also working with the Communist Party to gain attention, adding to the atmosphere of terror.
Is the CCP now planning to attack Taiwan?
So is the CCP determined and planning to attack Taiwan now or not? No.
Why can we say this with certainty? Because Xi Jinping’s participation in the climate summit on April 22 has already given the answer.
The climate summit is a planned economic summit, the plan is the scale of the global economy, carbon dioxide is a by-product of economic development, the global allocation of carbon emission targets is the same as determining the scale of each country’s economy, as we have already explained in last week’s program, so I won’t say more here.
Just looking at the fact that Xi Jinping participated in the Global Planning Economic Conference, it shows that Xi Jinping does not want to fall out completely with the international community yet, nor will he withdraw from the globalized economy, which means that the CCP will not attack Taiwan now, because once the war starts, the CCP will be kicked out of the globalized economic circle, and the CCP has experience with this.
Because after June 4, ’89, the West imposed all kinds of embargoes on the CCP, and the CCP was hit hard economically. The consequences of striking Taiwan would be even more serious, as the West would immediately impose an economic embargo and China would enter a complete internal cycle.
If the CCP really planned to hit Taiwan, it would not have been involved in the planned economy of globalization, Xi Jinping would not have participated in the climate summit, and it would not have had to calculate carbon emission targets, and CO2 would have been emitted as much as it wanted.
You want a random tank weighs more than ten tons, the electric engine output is not enough power, you must use gasoline or diesel, may be a national campaign to make steel to build missiles, it does not care more about environmental protection or environmental problems.
Xi Jinping leaks short-term no decision to attack Taiwan
Xi Jinping’s participation in the climate summit is tantamount to a leak, the Chinese Communist Party has not decided to attack Taiwan in the short term, the future does not know, but now Taiwan is certainly not the most dangerous region. After the climate summit, mainland companies are flooding into the electric vehicle sector, and the demand for chips for cars is exploding.
TSMC also wants to expand the production of low-end 28nm automotive chips in Nanjing, which is to get a piece of the mainland’s electric car frenzy, which, as a joke, is Taiwan’s counter-attack on the mainland.
This also shows from the side that the CCP powerbrokers are focused on the fight for domestic economic interests and have no mind to fight Taiwan.
Taiwan’s friends should not be intimidated by the CCP and the media, but they should not relax their defense preparations and the island’s anti-communist efforts, because only if the CCP feels that Taiwan is capable and determined not to eat the threat set will they not be delusional, otherwise the danger will still exist in the future.
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