The top echelon of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) has gone on a full-scale foreign attack, intending to pull together several so-called allies to form an anti-U.S. alliance, only to find that they are the only ones standing in the forefront against the United States. Russia, North Korea, and Iran are ostensibly helping the CCP against the U.S., but in reality they are all pushing the CCP to the forefront, each taking the opportunity to seek benefits.
The Chinese Communist Party should now find that it was originally intended to use the other three countries to jointly create problems for the U.S., but the only one who really put up a fight is the Chinese Communist Party itself. Although other so-called allies have followed suit, they have tried to avoid direct conflicts with the United States as much as possible, more for their own interests.
The top echelon of the CCP should also feel that something is wrong and have to think again.
The CCP can hardly hide the embarrassment of international isolation
On April 7, Chinese Communist Party media Xinhua reported that Xi Jinping had a phone call with German Chancellor Angela Merkel. The Chinese Communist Party has always considered Germany to be the weakest link in the Western camp, and whenever the Communist Party top brass is desperate, they will have a phone call with the German chancellor to show that they are not in international isolation, but no one cares whether the call is really fruitful.
This time, too, Xi is once again counting on Germany as the Chinese Communist Party is at direct odds with the United States and Europe. In the Xinhua report, Xi Jinping mainly expressed his hope that “the German and European sides will work together with China to make positive efforts to maintain and promote the healthy and stable development of Sino-German and Sino-European cooperation” and that “China is willing to share the opportunities brought by China’s new round of opening up and development with enterprises from all countries, including German enterprises. China is ready to share the opportunities brought by China’s new round of opening-up with enterprises from all countries, including German enterprises. We hope that the German side will remain open and create more convenience for enterprises of both countries to expand mutually beneficial cooperation”, “We hope that the EU will make correct judgments independently and truly achieve strategic autonomy …… to practice multilateralism”. “willing to work with the international community, including the German side, to promote the fair and reasonable distribution of vaccines”.
Xi, of course, hopes that Germany and Europe will not join forces with the US against the CCP, while continuing to draw a big pie for German companies, and also wants to cooperate with Germany on vaccines. But Xinhua only reported that “Merkel said the European side insists on autonomy in foreign relations.” Such a statement at least suggests that Germany will not side with the Chinese Communist Party. In fact, Japan and Germany are about to hold 2+2 ministerial talks on foreign affairs and defense, and it is not known whether Xi and Merkel have addressed this specific issue.
Xinhua also reported that Merkel said that “enhanced dialogue and cooperation between Europe and China is not only in the interest of both sides, but also in the interest of the world.” Western leaders basically do not say such party culture words, more like Xinhua said it for Merkel. Merkel also only “wants to maintain communication with China on issues such as fair distribution of vaccines and mutual certification” and did not agree to Xi’s request for vaccine cooperation.
Such calls, which have little consensus and no tangible results, are more symbolic, otherwise Xi’s head of state diplomacy would be completely empty, but this call reveals precisely the embarrassing position of the Chinese Communist Party in the international arena.
Iran and the Chinese Communist Party Use Each Other
On April 7, Xinhua also reported “Iranian Foreign Ministry confirms explosion on Iranian cargo ship”, revealing that the Iranian cargo ship “Friendship” exploded near the coast of Djibouti in the Red Sea on April 6. …… The cause of the accident is still under investigation. The report also deliberately said that the “Friendship” cargo ship is Iran’s “logistics station” in the Red Sea waters, to provide technical and logistical support to ensure maritime security, anti-piracy activities.
This statement exposed the function of the “Friendship” cargo ship in the Red Sea, the Red Sea is not close to Iran, Iranian cargo ships through the Red Sea is more normal, how will be across the Arabian Peninsula, in the Red Sea as a “maritime security, anti-piracy” “logistics station”. “logistics station” it? “Friendship” is obviously not a cargo ship, but a warship, far from home to the Red Sea as a “logistics station” is obviously not quite normal.
Finally, according to the New York Times website, the explosion of the Iranian cargo ship was attacked by the Israeli side. Israel is indeed good at taking the initiative militarily, but it should not be easy to attack a real cargo ship. The Chinese Communist Party’s media is bemoaning Iran, not to deal with Israel, but to use Iran against the U.S. But it seems too far-fetched for the Chinese Communist Party media to try to imply that the U.S. supported Israel’s attack on the Iranian ship.
Iran is currently negotiating with the U.S. and has offered a high price, but Iran is also ultimately prepared to make peace with the U.S. for greater benefits. The Chinese Communist Party certainly expects to use Iran and the terrorist groups it supports to stall U.S. forces in the Middle East, but after the first round of indirect exploratory military engagements between the new U.S. administration and Iran, Iran has not recently increased its military provocations against the United States. Indeed, the Communist Party’s recent large-scale challenge to the United States in the Pacific may be being used as leverage by Iran.
The new U.S. Secretary of Defense Austin, who has extensive real-world combat experience in the Middle East and is supposed to take the Middle East seriously, has not proposed any plans to significantly increase troops in the Middle East and is instead implementing a plan to withdraw troops from Afghanistan. Iran naturally does not want large scale permanent U.S. troops in the neighborhood either, and Iran will not really fight the U.S. for the Chinese Communist Party. Iran should hope that the Chinese Communist Party will provoke the U.S. military more in the Pacific Ocean, which will instead reduce Iran’s pressure and may also be conducive to U.S.-Iranian negotiations. Therefore, Iran is shouting more high prices and ultimately hopes to reach an agreement rather than go to war with the U.S. military.
North Korea’s thunder is loud and rainy
Immediately after the unhappy U.S.-China talks in Alaska, the Chinese Communist Party publicly interacted with North Korea, which subsequently test-fired a short-range missile. North Korea has also issued threats to the White House, but has not recently made high-profile claims of nuclear tests or high-profile test launches of long-range ballistic missiles.
North Korea’s double-cross with the Chinese Communist Party continues, but North Korea seems to be moderating. After all, the new U.S. administration has publicly stated that it has been trying to communicate with North Korea through pre-existing channels. North Korea’s ultimate goal, too, is to use nuclear weapons as leverage to achieve a breakthrough in relations with the United States. North Korea should know for itself that the Chinese Communist Party is not an adversary of the United States, and North Korea is even less of an adversary. Kim Jong-un is well aware that if he does go to war with the U.S., he himself and the Kim family apparatchiks are expected to be beheaded soon, and he does not dare to take such a risk.
North Korea should also see that the conflict between China and the U.S. is irreconcilable and may end up in a war, and North Korea does not really want to fight a proxy war for the Chinese Communist Party. If the conflict between the U.S. and China intensifies, North Korea may have a chance to break the ice with the U.S. as long as it does not blindly move forward. If relations between the U.S. and China do ease, North Korea could become a pariah. So, while the Chinese aircraft carriers are once again charging into the Pacific, North Korea is not showing its head.
Russia is also taking advantage of the Chinese Communist Party
The current global military focus, in addition to the Chinese Communist Party’s increased provocations against U.S. forces, is that Russia is staging troops on the Ukrainian border.
Russia’s military moves have caught the attention of the U.S., but it is not helping the CCP to keep U.S. forces in check, nor should the U.S. military have the will to intervene in a possible war between Russia and Ukraine. On the contrary, Russia may be taking advantage of the Communist Party of China’s further antagonism with the United States and the West to try to fish in troubled waters and resolve the conflict with Ukraine, which is an ethnic conflict in the former Soviet republics or CIS and actually has little to do with U.S. interests. The United States, of course, does not want to see war in any region, nor does it want Russia to break international rules at will, and is already trying to intervene to reconcile.
Russia’s move has stimulated NATO countries more than anything else, actually sounding the alarm to NATO European countries, and Ukraine has revealed its desire to join NATO in the face of the imminent threat. Russia has made it clear that it will not form a military alliance with the CCP, and instead should hope that the CCP will provoke the U.S. military more, preferably by pulling both carriers to the Pacific and South China Sea; Russia should also hope that the CCP and the EU will continue to be at war, preferably stirring up trouble, and the political pressure on Russia to possibly invade Ukraine will be reduced by a lot.
Russia is not helping the CCP target the United States at all, but is actually using the CCP to try to strengthen its own interests during the period when it is attacking on all sides to create chaos. The CCP is trying to draw in and use Russia, Iran, and North Korea, and each of these three countries may be privately committed to the CCP, but none of them are rushing to the forefront against the U.S. Only the CCP itself is most energetic. All three countries are actually using the CCP and losing no time in seeking their own interests.
CCP Foreign Minister Wang Yi has also recently met with the foreign ministers of South Korea, the Philippines, Malaysia, Singapore, and Indonesia, and of course tried to draw these countries together, but it is clear that these countries are unlikely to be anti-American. South Korea just renewed its military defense agreement with the United States and still needs U.S. protection; Indonesia just conducted joint military exercises with U.S. forces in the South China Sea; and the U.S. military has military bases in both the Philippines and Singapore. All of these countries rely on U.S. military protection.
As China and the U.S. clash, these countries are also taking advantage of the opportunity to try not to offend anyone, while grasping for profits from China and the U.S. The CCP top brass cannot count on these countries to oppose the U.S. and can only try to prove to the party that there are still some countries that they can interact with normally. Privately, of course, they have to pay a lot to these countries, and as long as they do not fall completely to the U.S., the CCP top brass can only do so.
The CCP’s anti-U.S. alliance apparently failed to be formed, but pushed itself further into an isolated front-line position. It seems to be too late to come around now, and I am afraid the dilemma of the CCP top brass riding the tiger is difficult to end.
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