Chinese Communist Party military aircraft, which continue to harass Taiwan‘s waters, were rumored to have flown at a low altitude of 300 meters for the first Time on Tuesday, with strong provocative implications. In addition, U.S. international scholar Mei Huilin said that Xi Jinping believes that the Chinese military is capable of occupying Taiwan within two years.
Military fans of the “Southwest Taiwan Airspace Fan Page” disclosed that on February 23, Chinese military aircraft entered Taiwan’s southwest air defense identification zone and northern airspace. According to the transcript of the Taiwan Air Force’s broadcast of the dispersal, the Chinese military aircraft even flew over at a low altitude of 300 meters. However, Taiwan’s Ministry of National Defense did not confirm the news.
Taiwan National Policy Research Foundation researcher Li Zhengxiu: “They are responding to yesterday’s handover of Taiwan’s defense minister as a military intimidation, more political than the so-called military threat. The Chinese Communist Party wants to create an international Perception that they have absolute control over the military interaction between the Taiwan Strait.”
Taiwan military expert Li Zhengxiu believes that the massive disturbance of Taiwan by Chinese Communist Party military aircraft is communicating to the international community that it is capable of blocking U.S. and Japanese intervention in the Taiwan Strait.
U.S. media Roll Call on Tuesday quoted Stanford University international issues scholar Hui-Lin Mei as saying that as the Chinese Communist Party’s military power continues to grow, the U.S. ability to assist Taiwan in fending off an invasion becomes vulnerable.
Mei also said a Chinese Communist Party military leader told her that while some Western analysts predicted it would take five years or more for the Communist Party to be able to attack Taiwan, they believed Xi Jinping had concluded that the Communist Party military would be capable of occupying and capturing Taiwan within a year or two.
Li Zhengxiu, a researcher at the National Policy Research Foundation in Taiwan: “With her (Mei Huilin) military reserves and the mindset of the Chinese Communist Party’s top brass, she predicts that these two years are indeed the most likely point in time for a crisis in the Taiwan Strait to occur. Her reasoning is that the U.S. military deployment in East Asia is no match for the rapid growth of the PLA in the Taiwan Strait, so she believes that it will give Xi Jinping an opportunistic mindset that since the U.S. is weakening, there is an opportunity to quickly bring Taiwan to its knees by force.”
Mei Huilin made the statement to the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission hearing last Thursday via videoconference. But she also added that Xi is likely waiting for the right moment.
Mayweathering and other experts suggested that the Biden administration should help bring Taiwan into line with the international community and also draw on the strength of other allies to let Beijing know that there will be a heavy price to pay if Taiwan is united by force.
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