A few days ago, there was a sudden widespread power outage across Guangdong, not a power restriction, but a power outage. Because of the power outage, the water supply was also interrupted, and the network was also interrupted. The power supply side explained that it is equipment failure, after repair has been restored to normal.
Guangdong power disruption is no warning, said equipment failure makes sense, but such a large area of power outages, but also for many years has not happened. Recently, all provinces are facing the problem of power supply shortage, a variety of claims, some say that Russia suddenly suspended power supply, some say that the winter hydropower generation capacity is insufficient, some say that the Australian coal embargo, some say that the factory production suddenly booming, some say that the cold wave south of the private electricity surge, some say that a large number of local coal mines closed, many reasons, a variety of opinions.
Winter is only cold this year? In the past, the winter is the peak of the private heating electricity consumption, not just around the party officials just wake up? In winter, the water is dry and there is not enough hydroelectric power generation, that is also the norm, not just this year suddenly happened. Russia suddenly stopped supplying electricity to China, this is even more unfounded reasons, China’s power demand, how can Russia fork the neck? Factory production is booming, this is not the norm for many years? China is a large processing and exporting country, a few years ago when foreign trade was booming, power are no problem, now foreign trade is not what it used to be, but the power supply is insufficient? As for the closure of local coal mines, it is not a sudden occurrence, before the closure of small coal mines, should have calculated the problem of coal supplemental supply, will not be justified without reason first shut down before saying.
Whenever there is a problem in the administration of the Chinese Communist Party, it is most likely to find some specious reasons to hoodwink the uninformed masses. The reason for the famine in the 1960s was natural disasters and Soviet debt collection. As it turns out, it was neither a natural disaster nor a debt collection, but a man-made disaster, that is, Mao Zedong’s Great Leap Forward caused the national economy to become dysfunctional, the promotion of dense planting in rural areas to reduce yields, and the false figures of 10,000 jins of grain per acre.
Power is an energy source, and coal is used to generate electricity, coal is a strategic material, how much coal the country uses each year to generate electricity, there is a basic constant, on the basis of this constant and then make adjustments. Because it is a strategic material, the import and sale of ﹑ transport deployment need sufficient time, is never a headache to cure the foot of temporary arrangements, must be planned in advance, step by step to arrange.
Why is it rare to hear news of power restrictions in Western countries? Because each country’s electricity demand must have a constant, in the supply must also have a surplus of backup, in case of emergency. Power infrastructure design must not be just right, there must be sufficient backup, which does not require experts to understand, a little common sense can be inferred.
In the early 1990s, when the mainland was first opened up, there was a serious shortage of electricity, and then the sheep were mended by building additional power plants, which have been stable for many years, and this time, the power supply restriction came suddenly, and it seems that the government does not need to explain to the people the details: what causes it, how much it will affect, how long it will last, and so on, the people should have the right to know.
This time, the power restriction coincides with the embargo on Australian coal, which makes people think that the two are related. Originally, if the government wants to embargo Australian coal, it should fully estimate the consequences of the embargo in advance, before announcing the embargo, it should be prepared and properly arrange for import replenishment, so as to prevent being caught off guard when things go wrong. If you want to compete with someone, you must first take off your coat, tie the horse stance, you can not stand straight and wait for someone’s fist.
There is no communication between different departments, each doing their own thing before making decisions without regard to the people’s lives. Xi Jinping gave an order, the ban was issued, no one dared to refute, and in fact nothing prepared, rushed into action, of course, serious consequences.
A provincial official once lamented that the officials now spend 50 percent of their time in political learning, 40 percent of their time in maintaining stability, and 10 percent of their time in finding money. Officials are busy with politics and looking for money, who is in charge of people’s livelihood?
The same applies to the government of Lam Cheng, which is busy with political allegiance, settling scores after the fall and indiscriminate arrests and sentencing, taking oaths, brainwashing in schools, and doing epidemic prevention, even vaccination is worse than in Macau. The vaccines in Macau have been available for a long time, and the public has a choice, while Hong Kong is looking at the sky to fight, but also have no choice.
A place ruled by mediocre officials is already bad enough, plus the need to neglect politics, plus the need to be keen on politics, in the end, the private sector can only be self-perpetuating.
How long can the mainland embargo on Australian coal hold up? Unless enough good enough alternatives are found, the difficulties of power restrictions will continue. In the cold winter of the third nine days, residential homes must be below three degrees before they are allowed to turn on the heating, at most not more than 15 degrees, that is endless torture for the elderly, children and the chronically ill, the suffering of the people, the officials will take to heart? A pat on the head to give administrative orders, he made the decision, the suffering of the people to endure.
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