From Unpacking, France is Far from Meeting the Standard

Sunday, December 6, was a little over a week before the date set by French President Emmanuel Macron for the unsealing of the country. However, according to the data on the neocrowning epidemic, France is still far from meeting the criteria for unsealing the country.

Macron had announced that the whole country would be unsealed from December 15 onward, and that two targets would be met: first, the number of new confirmed positives per day should be reduced to less than 5,000 per day, and second, the national stock of new coronary patients in intensive care units should be reduced to less than 2,500 to 3,000.

According to current outbreak reports, France recorded 11,000 new daily positives on Sunday, well above the 5,000 target, and this past week, the number of new daily positives fluctuated between 40,005 and 14,064, with an average of 10,500 new cases per day. As of Sunday, the confirmed infection rate in France was 10.7%, unchanged for three days. With regard to the second indicator, the number of people in intensive care units, France is no longer under pressure: only 3,200 people remain in intensive care units in the country, which is well within reach of Macron’s call for a reduction to less than 3,000.

In this situation, health care workers have expressed concern that a small increase in the number of confirmed cases per day, down to 5,000 per day by December 15, “would be impossible”. But the number of people in the ICU “should not have a problem falling below 3,000 by then.