Just as the cumulative death toll from new crowns in the U.S. has officially surpassed the 200,000 mark, the number of confirmed daily infections is climbing fiercely in many Western European countries. On Tuesday, the United Kingdom announced new restrictions on bars and restaurants, the French epidemic prevention committee is expected to discuss the spike at its midweek meeting, and Paris is waiting for more restrictions on epidemic prevention to be put in place.
According to Germany’s authoritative Robert Koch Institute for Disease Control and Prevention, the number of daily confirmed infections in Germany is approaching 2,000; the British government fears that by November, the number of daily deaths will “take off” and become 10 times the current number; Madrid has banned 850,000 people from leaving the community in non-significant and unnecessary circumstances…. The number of new deaths has begun to show significant growth in France, the UK and Spain. In terms of deaths per million, Belgium, Spain, the UK, Italy, Sweden, France, Ireland and the Netherlands are high on the international charts and continue to grow.
In France, the daily increase in the number of confirmed infections has exceeded 10,000 several times since September 12. If there is a direct correlation between the spike in the number of confirmed infections and the widespread use of testing, then the rate of confirmed infections is a more effective measure. Disturbingly, the rate of confirmed infections in France started to rise again in the summer, dropping to 1.1% in early July, then rising to 4% by the end of August, then reaching an alarming 5% in early September, and approaching 6% as of this writing. The rate of confirmed cases per 100,000 inhabitants per week also rose sharply: on June 16, there were 4.3 cases per 100,000 inhabitants per week in France; by the end of July, the rate rose to more than 10 cases per 100,000 inhabitants per week; by the end of August, the rate surged to more than 50 cases per 100,000 inhabitants per week. According to the current standards of immunization in France, more than 10 cases per 100,000 people per week means that close observation is required, and more than 50 cases per week means that alarm bells are ringing. Currently, the number has climbed to between 80 and 90, and in many places, such as Ile-de-France and the north, the number has already exceeded 100.
Spain has undoubtedly entered the second wave of the epidemic, with a quarter of Madrid’s hospital beds and a third of its intensive care unit beds and related equipment already occupied by new arrivals, and the daily death toll rebounding from mid- to late-August and accelerating markedly in September, with about 900 deaths counted last week and 241 on Tuesday, the largest increase in new deaths in a single day since May.
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