New crown incidence resumes high in France, especially among 20- to 29-year-olds

A resurgence in the number of new coronas in France, particularly among young people aged 20 to 29, was the focus of a front-page story in Le Monde on Friday.

Epidemiologists believe that a fourth wave of neo-coronitis is “inevitable” in France, the French newspaper stressed. The scientific committee advising France’s top authorities on the neo-crown epidemic considers the proportion of vulnerable people who have not been vaccinated to be “too high”. On Friday, the scientific committee also recommended that “vaccination should be mandatory for health care workers” and that “partial restriction measures” should be taken this summer in the areas where the outbreak is most severe.

France’s Le Monde also noted that while Spain decided to close its nightclubs for two weeks under the pressure of the new epidemic, France reopened its nightclubs on Friday, July 9. France’s decision to reopen nightclubs was made a few weeks ago as the third wave of the epidemic ebbed, and was an important step in lifting France’s blockade in response to the third wave of the epidemic. However, for 10 days now, many French epidemiologists have affirmed that “the epidemic will return and the incidence will again increase exponentially”.

Regarding the current status of the epidemic in France, Le Monde quoted a report issued by the French Ministry of Public Health on Thursday, July 8, saying that the number of new cases of neo-crown in France is now about 2,360 per day, an increase of almost 31% compared to the previous week. The reproduction rate of the new coronavirus, that is, the average number of new cases per infected person, has been rising for more than a week and is now about 1.15. These signals clearly indicate that the new coronavirus has started to spread again in the population due to the Delta mutant strain. The Delta strain has now reached 43 percent of the population testing positive in France. French Health Minister Weyland said Friday that it is possible that by the end of this week, the delta virus strain will be the predominant strain in France.

Le Monde also noted that the accelerated spread of the virus is a phenomenon that can be observed in all regions of France, but it is more pronounced in the greater Paris area. The incidence rate has now reached 40 cases per 100,000 inhabitants in the greater Paris area.

Moreover, the incidence is increasing in all age groups except the youngest, 0 to 9 years old, and the oldest, over 70 years old, and is particularly serious in the 20 to 29 age group, where the number of infections in this age group has increased by 80% compared to the previous week, reaching an incidence of 65 positive cases per 100,000 inhabitants. At the same time, only 23% of this age group is fully vaccinated, however, few infections in this age group are serious and most are even asymptomatic or very mildly symptomatic. The rise in the number of infections has not yet put pressure on hospitals, and this week saw a further decline in the number of new coronary admissions and serious illnesses.

Faced with the threat of a fourth wave of the outbreak, the French government has recently raised its voice and called on the population to get vaccinated as soon as possible.

However, some experts said in Le Monde that now! calls for mass vaccination to stop the epidemic from rebounding are already too late, as the epidemic has already recovered.” However, despite this, vaccination is still absolutely essential, as it will act as a buffer against the fourth wave of the epidemic. Today in France, 52% of the population is vaccinated with at least one dose and 38% with two doses, while in the UK half of the population is fully vaccinated and in Israel the percentage is 60%.

In this context, French President Emmanuel Macron will address the French next Monday at 8 p.m. Macron’s speech was set a few days ago. Two and a half months ago, on April 29, Macron detailed the timetable for lifting the embargo in an interview with a local daily newspaper. The presidential administration did not provide details on the content of Macron’s speech, but Macron’s entourage recently announced that the purpose of Macron’s speech was to set the course to be followed in the last ten months of his five-year presidential term, particularly some reforms, including pension reform.

Next Monday morning, Macron will also chair a health defense committee, where the issue of mandatory vaccinations for healthcare workers, the expanded use of health passes and whether testing measures will continue to be free in the face of a new wave of epidemic risks will be discussed.