How long will the Communist Party top brass misjudge?

On July 9, the Communist Party’s Xinhua News Agency reported that Xi Jinping presided over the 20th meeting of the Comprehensive Deepening Reform Commission. Although no pictures or images of Xi were seen in the party media report, Xi emphasized that “accelerating the construction of a new development pattern is a strategic move to grasp the initiative of future development and to enhance our survival, competitiveness, development and sustainability in the midst of various foreseeable and unforeseeable turbulent waves, and it is an assertive battle that requires perseverance and strategic determination. The “war of perseverance and persistence”.

After issuing the slogan “head for blood” from the Tiananmen Square, Xi Jinping’s talks with the heads of Germany and France have failed to make progress despite his attempts to keep a low profile, and the Communist Party seems determined to disassociate itself from the United States and the West. How long is such a miscalculation at the top of the CCP, which led to a close coalition of the U.S. and allies against the CCP, likely to last now that the top of the CCP still seems to believe it has the strength to confront further?

The CCP’s Latest Statement Continues to Pressure the U.S.

On July 9, Wang Qishan, attending the 50th anniversary of Kissinger’s secret visit to China, said, “The biggest challenge for the United States is not China, but the United States itself, and the U.S. strategy toward China should avoid forming a vicious circle between misdirection and misjudgment.

Instead of admitting that they have misjudged, the CCP top brass believes that the U.S. is misjudging; or rather, the CCP top brass believes that the CCP still has the ability to force the U.S. to finally give in. Wang Qishan also said, “As long as we uphold the idea that the fate of all mankind is shared, the problems between China and the United States will not be fundamentally antagonistic and irreconcilable, and we will be able to find a path of peaceful coexistence and win-win cooperation.”

This statement is actually still asking the United States to accept the ideology of the CCP and to accept being on an equal footing with the CCP regime. The Chinese Communist Party is facing such a dilemma and is still trying to send out signals of pressure. If it is not a bluff, it is a miscalculation plus a misjudgment.

On July 9, the CCP’s central bank announced a 0.5 percentage point cut, releasing about 1 trillion yuan of long-term funds. While the CCP claims to be the first to recover from the epidemic and now the U.S. financial sector is discussing interest rate hikes, the CCP’s central bank continues to claim that the economy is “stable and improving” and “adheres to normal monetary policy and does not engage in flooding”, but at the same time has to expand the amount of funds it puts in to try to stimulate economic activity. This seems difficult to understand. It seems difficult for the outside world to understand where the “backbone” of the CCP’s top management comes from.

China’s diplomatic dilemma is difficult to overcome

Xinhua also reported that Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi will visit Turkmenistan, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan, and attend multilateral meetings such as the Shanghai Cooperation Organization Foreign Ministers’ Meeting.

On June 29, the Group of 20 (G20) foreign ministers’ meeting was held in Italy, and Wang Yi only participated via video to avoid embarrassment. Wang Yi gave up such a crucial diplomatic event to visit the less important Central Asian region, and the CCP clearly understands the current diplomatic dilemma.

Perhaps the Chinese Communist Party really believes that this meeting, titled “SCO-Afghanistan Liaison Group” foreign ministers’ meeting, can really fill the vacuum left by the withdrawal of U.S. troops from Afghanistan. However, the Chinese Communist Party cannot be unaware that the former Soviet Union fell in Afghanistan, which became one of the signs of the former Soviet Union’s downfall. The Chinese Foreign Ministry either has nothing better to do, or the Communist Party’s top brass has indeed lost its head. While the U.S. withdrew its troops from the quagmire and was ready to go all out against the CCP, the CCP leaders thought they had a rare opportunity and were ready to take over, despite the internal and external difficulties! If this is the case, the U.S. has set a strategic trap for the CCP.

Xinhua reported that Kissinger, who participated in the commemoration via video, said the U.S.-China relationship is “even more critical today than it was in 1971” and “should keep in mind the premise that a war between the United States and China would be a disaster of unspeakable proportions”. “I hope that both sides will take a long-term view and strengthen strategic communication.”

Kissinger was attending an event organized by the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) and was actually issuing a warning to the CCP about the consequences of continued confrontation. As a veteran politician, Kissinger should have seen that U.S.-China relations would be difficult to reconcile and that conflict would be inevitable if the Chinese Communist Party’s top brass insisted on taking a confrontational stance. However, the Chinese Communist Party is not willing to listen to such words, and the Party’s media reports should be deliberately addressed to the Americans or continue to brainwash the Chinese to absolve the Communist Party’s top brass of responsibility.

Xinhua also reported that at a CCP Foreign Ministry press conference on the same day, spokesman Wang Wenbin said that “China-US relations are at a new historical juncture and face new choices” and “hope that the US side will understand the world trend, follow the trend of the times, correct its perception of China, make the right choice, and move in the same direction as the Chinese side “.

It is no coincidence that the Chinese Foreign Ministry is consistent with Wang Qishan’s caliber and does not mention “no conflict, no confrontation” in the past, which is equivalent to the Chinese Communist Party’s attempt to launch a new round of diplomatic offensive against the United States and put pressure on the U.S. government again. Perhaps the top brass saw that the U.S. government did not take further action to hold the U.S. government accountable for the epidemic, so they once again took the plunge.

Forced change of strategy may not work

In response to the U.S. visa restrictions on Chinese students, Xinhua also quoted Wang Wenbin as saying, “The U.S. side claims that the above measures will affect less than 2 percent of Chinese applicants, but a Georgetown University report assesses that 3,000 to 5,000 Chinese graduate students in related disciplines who intend to study in the U.S. are expected to be affected by Presidential Order 10043 each year, accounting for 16 to 27 percent of the total number. It is hoped that “the U.S. side will address and reconsider this issue and stop its unwarranted restrictions on Chinese students.

The Chinese Communist Party’s top brass has repeatedly fought with the U.S. and seems to be ready to take the initiative to disassociate itself from the U.S., but is worried that it cannot steal the U.S. technology, and its so-called autonomous innovation in science and technology is obviously exposed. The Chinese Communist Party is once again targeting the U.S., while lowering its tone towards Europe again.

At a press conference of the Chinese Foreign Ministry on July 9, a reporter asked a question: The European Parliament passed a resolution yesterday calling on EU officials to boycott the Beijing Winter Olympics because of human rights issues in Hong Kong and Xinjiang. Wang Wenbin deliberately evaded the question, saying only that “this matter is not worthy of attention at all. Subsequently, the Chinese Communist Party issued a statement of protest only through the Office of the Commissioner of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs in Hong Kong, calling it a “misplaced self-interest” that “will never be accepted …… teachers moncler”

While the European Parliament’s resolution is not trivial and the trend of escalating confrontation between China and Europe is obvious, the CCP’s Foreign Ministry has downgraded its response, just like the low profile of Xi Jinping and the German-French summit.

Unable to put up a united front against the US, the CCP has been forced to distinguish between its primary and secondary enemies, continuing to fire on the US while trying to avoid further deterioration in Europe. Regardless of whether the CCP’s top brass has really misjudged or falsely misjudged the situation, its unwillingness to compromise externally will only force the U.S. and other Western countries to be more vigilant and keep introducing more measures in response; the longer the CCP’s top brass misjudges, the more the trend of confrontation will accelerate and become more inevitable.