Following the June 16 U.S.-Russia summit, each side issued statements focused on avoiding conflict. On the surface, the Chinese Communist Party was not mentioned, but its repeated claims that the relationship between China and Russia is “unbreakable” have clearly been broken. The fact that both the U.S. and Russia have stated that they are trying to avoid conflict means that Russia will not engage in confrontation between the U.S. and China, which should be one of the core elements that Biden and Putin need to confirm with each other during their meeting. The Chinese Communist Party has tried every possible way to draw Russia in to form an anti-U.S. and anti-Western axis, and now the Communist Party has officially become the axis of isolation.
White House confirms avoidance of U.S.-Russian conflict
The White House statement was relatively brief, stating that the “shared goals include ensuring predictability in the strategic arena and reducing the risk of armed conflict and the threat of nuclear war” and that in accordance with these goals, “together we will begin a comprehensive bilateral strategic stability dialogue” that “seeking to lay the foundation for future arms control and risk reduction measures.”
While the U.S. military has been aiming to win two and a half wars, it would undoubtedly have a clearer advantage and better chance of winning if it could avoid the possibility of conflict with Russia and focus on military provocations by the Chinese Communist Party. The U.S. government’s strategic sequencing is clear.
The Kremlin’s statement expresses the same message, with a relatively more specific list of areas where the two sides should avoid conflict and confrontation.
Specifics listed by Russia
The Russian statement included more specifics, including.
Avoiding “the risk of large-scale confrontation” in the “digital sphere” and making proposals to the United States to “reach a comprehensive plan” to restart the two sides “relations in the field of security in the use of information and communication technologies (ICT).”
Resume “regular and comprehensive high-level bilateral inter-agency dialogue” on key issues.
-Maintain “continuous and effective channels of communication” between the competent agencies of the two sides, such as the Nuclear Risk Reduction Center, the Computer Emergency Readiness Group, the National Security Agency’s Senior Officials, and the National Security Agency’s Senior Officials. “Senior officials of national security agencies, etc.
A bilateral governmental agreement on the prevention of accidents in information space, similar to the Soviet-U.S. Agreement on the Prevention of Accidents on the High Seas and at Sea, which came into force on May 25, 1972.
Confirmation of “non-interference in each other’s internal affairs in a mutually acceptable manner,” such as “non-interference in the electoral process,” especially “through information and communication technologies and high-tech means. “These measures
-These measures are “aimed at building mutual trust and promoting the security and prosperity of our peoples” and suggest a “global agreement on a political commitment not to use information and communication technologies to launch the first attack”.
It is clear that Russia is more eager to fully restore relations with the U.S. and has repeatedly clarified that it does not want conflict with the U.S. in all areas, which should be in line with the current international environment Russia is facing. The two sides did not mention the Chinese Communist Party, but in reality, they are unaware of each other, and Russia clearly will not participate in the U.S.-China confrontation in exchange for a de-escalation of relations with the United States.
Putin’s intention to talk about the Chinese Communist Party’s aircraft carrier
Before the U.S.-Russia summit, NBC interviewed Putin exclusively. When talking about the CCP’s ongoing construction of a 4th aircraft carrier, Putin asked the reporter rhetorically, “How many aircraft carriers does the United States have?” Apparently Putin does not think highly of the CCP’s aircraft carrier strength. He also said that the CCP’s carriers will not cross the land border between China and Russia.
Putin also apparently sees the threat of the Chinese Communist Party to the United States and the U.S. countermeasures. He said that “in terms of purchasing power parity, the Chinese economy has surpassed that of the United States” and said that “there is now a beginning – some form of – confrontation with China (the Chinese Communist Party). Everybody understands that. We can see it”.
It is clear that in the face of the U.S. media, Putin has put the Communist Party at the forefront of the confrontation with the United States. The most important thing Putin wanted to clarify in his statement after his meeting with Biden was that this type of confrontation would not involve Russia, and that Putin wanted to use the CCP as a bargaining chip in an attempt to improve relations with the United States.
Today’s U.S.-China and Europe-China confrontations have shown Putin a good opportunity to improve relations with the West.
Russia sees the biggest opportunity
On the occasion of the U.S.-Russia summit, on June 16, the European Union also issued a communiqué on its policy proposals for Russia, stating that it would “counter, restrain and engage” with Russia “based on a strong consensus on Russia’s objectives.
Russia is in no better position to face the U.S. and the EU than the Chinese Communist Party. However, the EU has just officially listed the CCP as an adversary, so Russia may be better off if it can put the CCP more on the front burner while taking a more conciliatory stance itself.
Russia’s statements and Putin’s interviews with the U.S. media have tried to give the impression that Russia is at least relatively easier to communicate with than the CCP.
The biggest difference between Russia and the CCP is also that the Russian top brass is not as completely inhumane to its own citizens as the CCP top brass, which should be one of the fundamental reasons why the former Soviet Communist Party disintegrated earlier than the CCP. The former Soviet Union/Russia has a much larger nuclear arsenal than the CCP, but would not fight a nuclear war with the US without regard for the lives and deaths of its own citizens. Nor would Russia readily intervene in a conventional war with the US or NATO, sending soldiers needlessly to the front lines as cannon fodder.
The CCP should continue to brag about Sino-Russian relations. Faced with international isolation, the top brass of the CCP desperately needs to round up for itself. Russia is using the CCP as a bargaining chip, and the CCP top brass knows it, but can do nothing about it but pretend not to know.