In half a month, the Communist Party of China (CPC), the world’s largest political party, will celebrate its 100th birthday. Preparations for the party’s celebration have already begun, with a celebration rehearsal near Tiananmen Square on the 12th, mobilizing more than 14,000 participants. According to foreign media reports, the authorities have ordered that all petitioners be removed from Beijing by the 15th; by the 20th, there must be no dead ends. The 100th birthday is supposed to be celebrated by all, but this time we don’t seem to see a large-scale mobilization by the CCP authorities, at least the scale and extent of mobilization may fall short of external expectations. It can be said that the CCP’s performance this time is relatively low-key. Is this due to the party’s modesty and self-control? Certainly not. I think it fully reflects the current mentality of the CCP, which is to be stern and weak. Such a mindset is related to the epidemic that has already stirred the world.
After the outbreak of the epidemic in Wuhan at the end of 2019 and until the closure of the city in early 2020, there was a moment of panic in the CCP, which was manifested by the short-term opening of public opinion to the discussion of the admonishment of the whistle-blower, Dr. Li Wenliang, and related criticism, in order to calm public anger. But soon after the CCP began to use the “concentration camp model” to deal with the epidemic and achieved some success, especially after the epidemic began to break out on a large scale in the United States and other Western countries and was never effectively controlled, the CCP seized the moment and began to use the epidemic to advocate that “the Chinese system takes precedence over The Chinese Communist Party seized this opportunity and began to use the epidemic to advocate that “the Chinese system has priority over democracy. Such arguments may not have much of a market in the international community, but for the domestic public, whose access to information is extremely limited, they are obviously very convincing. For a while, the Chinese Communist Party, the originator of the epidemic, was transformed into the winner of the institutional competition. This was followed by the CCP’s complacency, from the aggressive diplomacy of the war wolves to Xi Jinping’s arrogant statement that “China can be equal to the world”, which is not an overstatement.
However, such an ambitious party with a century-old history has shown relative restraint in celebrating its 100th birthday. Neither did it issue daily congratulatory messages from world leaders and political parties, nor did it hold a grand military parade, nor did it launch mass demonstrations across the country with great fanfare, which fully demonstrates that the CPC is well aware of the critical situation it is currently in. Such a critical situation can be seen from the recent G7 leaders’ meeting of Western powers. Under the active leadership of the United States, the theme of the G7 meeting, apart from the epidemic and economic recovery, was to jointly confront the Chinese challenge. The Chinese Communist Party can keep control domestically, but it has become increasingly isolated in the international community. With fewer and fewer friends and more and more enemies, how is this birthday going to be spent?
What’s more, the biggest challenge for the CCP right now may soon be the global pursuit of the origins of the outbreak. Now, more and more suspicions have pointed to the Wuhan virus lab, and even the Western mainstream media, which has always avoided the topic, is now turning to it to push the investigation in terms of public opinion. The Chinese Communist Party itself must know better than anyone the true origin of the epidemic, and they will not be unaware of the hardships they will face once the lid is lifted. A few days ago, the Chinese Communist Party hurriedly introduced the Anti-Foreign Sanctions Law, more or less with the intention of strengthening the defense line for future sanctions. They know very well what they have done and what kind of prosecution they will face, and at this moment the CCP probably has only “internal weakness”. In such a gloomy atmosphere, I am afraid it is difficult for the CPC to make this centennial birthday a great celebration.
In fact, except for the epidemic, the whole situation of the CCP today can be described as “stern and weak”. The apparently century-old party, in fact, has been in trouble on all sides, this birthday, but also.