On May 9, the official media announced that the State Council of the Communist Party of China would hold a press conference at 10 a.m. on May 11 to announce the results of the seventh national population census. However, mainland netizens have posted on Weibo that the slowdown in population growth is an indisputable fact, and that the water mixed in the census process is not reflected in the so-called “data” at all.
According to official media reports, on May 9, the State Council Information Office is scheduled to hold a press conference at 10 a.m. on May 11, 2021 to introduce the main data results of the seventh national census and answer reporters’ questions.
The seventh national census has not yet been announced, but it has already created huge waves online, with netizens already questioning the census data and some census takers even feeling that the census data is not true:.
“Last year’s census was said to be helped by electronic products, plus the Internet, but I, as a census taker who participated in it, always felt that the data was not quite real.”
“Everyone is concerned about the data, and I’m wondering why the census didn’t reach me, huh? Last year I have been on the Internet to see the census to the news, but I am working abroad, my parents are also working abroad, I live in a rented house, and there is no community staff to send the census registration form, and no one in the village at home to call me to ask, the census missed is me”
“Anyway, no one came to me for the census, and the authenticity of the data was unknown.”
“The ‘expert’ group is in place and ready to start a new round of finger-pointing. For example: ‘housing prices are to blame for lower birth rates’, ‘black households aren’t counted’ ……”
“How many censuses have you been through?”
“I don’t know how refined the results of this census will be. All censuses are scattered, carpet censuses. It’s as fine as you want it to be. If the data is too real, it will be hard to see in many places. I think the final data must have been trimmed. For example, Hangzhou’s annual population growth of hundreds of thousands of people, in fact, from other places ‘snatch’. You think it’s just a year or two of robbery? No! For many people, it is not only their youth that is stolen. Rather, it is their genes, their life consumption and reproduction, their children and grandchildren.”
Some netizens said they could already guess the outcome, even though the government has not yet announced.
“I made this journey from northern Shaanxi via Ningxia and back to Shaanxi, and at each place I made a point of keeping an eye out to ask about the number of children. Basically, the number of children in each generation of the population is on a clear downward trend, from the generation of 70s and 80s to the generation of 30s and 40s, the number of children decreases from 6-8 to 1-3; there are more children in the minority population than in the Han population, roughly 3-4 to 1-2; there are more children in the township and rural population than in the urban population, also roughly 3-4 to 1-2. The population is declining and aging is about an indisputable fact, how to reverse the decline will be an important issue in the future now.”
“Predictably, the overall population shows growth and the newborn population shows decline. From wanting to have a baby, not allowed to have a baby. To not wanting to have children and encouraging them. What has happened in the intervening decades? We got old before we got rich, and the population was unevenly distributed. The young population in the developed cities keeps coming in, while the old people in the backward towns stay at home alone. Large cities are home to empty nest youth, small towns are home to empty nest elderly. That’s why it causes, while limiting your career bottleneck after 35 years old, while telling you to delay retirement. Again, why is the willingness of young people to have children declining? Because even if they can afford to have children, they can’t afford to raise them. The cost of raising children is too high, do not look at the compulsory education does not cost money, but spend too much money really. Some people scolded not to have children is selfish, but the child is born in a confused way, is not more selfish. Don’t talk to me about having children for retirement, children are not the tools for your retirement. If I am not even capable of living well, why should I drag my children down again. If no relevant approach is taken, the newborn population in the future, will be less and less.”
“A significant decline in the birth rate is the end, as to whether it is negative growth, it does not matter anymore!”
“Delayed so just announced, it is estimated that both the aging and fertility rates are not optimistic ah. These generations of young people are getting more and more pressure.”
“Do not worry too much, and do not take it too seriously. After all, it is already an indisputable fact that the population growth rate is slowing down”
“The decay and demise of one natural village after another is a signal of plummeting fertility rates and a strong alert to the current population policy.”
Netizens argue that the current birth cliff is the result of government attempts to manipulate and plan births:.
“More than a decade ago, decades ago, the government’s executioners did not know how many unborn lives were snuffed out, and we in Linxian even launched a bloody and brutal 100-day child-free campaign to meet the holy will, and it’s only a few years later that the population figures are about to collapse? “
“This census data may disappoint many people, personally, I feel that steady to good is still the general tone of our population issues, but there is no denying that we have problems, these problems I believe we still have the ability to solve well. The netizens are generally down on this result, mainly wanting to find a basis for what they think is a problem in social development. It is also a reaction to the fact that government departments used to interfere excessively with people’s reproductive rights.”
“I was fined at birth, and my family suffered.”
Other netizens questioned whether the government would publish the data of greatest concern to the people.
“More than a month late, some experts worry that the figures will be falsified, but in fact the demographic structure is the most important: first, the degree of aging and the birth rate of children; second, the mobility of the population, between urban and rural areas, regions, etc.; third, the ethnic composition, the dominant position of the Han nationality; fourth, the number of singles, the divorce rate; and fifth, the situation of foreigners, especially how many Africans there really are. Regardless of the final data, the total population is likely to decline in three years, the low birth rate is irreversible, and the general trend of accelerated aging is certain, which will have a strong impact on China’s economic and social development, especially reflected by the real estate market and capital market. The era of quantitative value-added in China’s economy will end, and there will be only structural opportunities, such as opportunities for agglomeration in big cities, opportunities for consolidation in high-tech companies, and incremental opportunities in the pension industry.”
“What is the population that has bought a house? Would like to know this data.”
“The data of the seventh national census will be released on May 11, I don’t know what the reason for the delay is, the total population and growth rate, urban and rural composition, birth and death rate are the data I would like to know.”
“Whether the data is good or not has nothing to do with ordinary people, look at a fun it. The part-time job or have to work, after all, rent, food and drink are needed money. Rich people want to how to give birth to how to give birth, to raise, their quality of life and will not decline, the property also needs to inherit. No money to give birth is not responsible for the child, can not provide a good living and educational environment, their own already low standard of living in the snow to add to the decline, how to think are not wise.”
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