China’s family planning has resulted in an aging population, and the pressure of life has deterred people from having children. According to Chinese experts, the annual number of births will fall below 10 million in the next few years, and the total population will begin to decline. The authorities have indefinitely delayed the release of last year’s census results, and netizens estimate that the situation is already bleak, and that the CCP may be falsifying the data.
On April 18, Chinese population expert Dong Yucheng, director of the Guangdong Institute of Population Development, told the Chinese media that according to the current trend, the annual number of births during the 14th Five-Year Plan (2021-2025) is likely to fall below the 10 million mark, so that within a few years, China’s total population could experience negative growth.
According to the mainland media, China’s 2019 birthrate of 14.65 million is only about 58 percent of the 1987 figure, while national figures for 2020 have not yet been released, but several cities have reported a decline of 10 to 20 percent. Earlier this year Communist Party officials announced that only 10.035 million newborns will be born in 2020 and registered with the Ministry of Public Security.
While experts within the Communist Party system say that a population decline could occur “in a few years,” the authorities’ sudden and indefinite delay in releasing last year’s census results this year raises suspicions that the situation is already deteriorating.
On April 16, officials from the National Bureau of Statistics said at a press conference that the delay was due to the need to “release more and more detailed information” about the census and that officials would “strive to release the results to the public as soon as possible. The official will “strive to announce it to the society as soon as possible”. In other words, the official still has not given a timetable for the announcement.
In response, netizens commented, “The data is too hard to read, and it takes time to change it. Other netizens ridiculed, “It’s not easy to control the numbers this time we should understand the Party’s hardship”
The Chinese Communist Party restricted childbirth in the early years. Today, although the authorities have begun to liberalize childbirth, encourage marriage and control the divorce rate, as the cost of raising, educating and living in Chinese society becomes higher and higher, people are gradually evolving the “late marriage and late childbirth” advocated by the authorities into “no marriage and no childbirth”, and more and more More and more people are choosing to be single or not to have children or less children.
CCTV reported on April 18 that according to the 2019 data of the Civil Affairs Bureau, the number of single people in China reached 240 million in 2018, and the number is still growing.
Population is the foundation of the economy, and the aging population and lack of labor force are bound to accelerate the decline of China’s economy.
Some Chinese Communist Party experts say that the situation is so dire that it is necessary to fully liberalize childbirth immediately, and at the same time, “pay attention to the improvement of the matching fertility policy,” that is, to provide subsidies for childbirth in various aspects. However, some scholars believe that the CCP system has created a vicious cycle of social deformation, and now it is difficult to solve livelihood problems such as education, medical care and housing, and under such circumstances, no matter how many children the authorities open up, it may be futile.
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