The current situation of marriage in China: less marriage, more divorce, and late marriage
With economic development, China’s marriage situation has undergone a great transformation, mainly reflected in the decline of the marriage rate, the divorce rate continues to climb, and the age of first marriage is delayed. Specifically, the
First, the number of marriage pairs and marriage rate began to decline since 2013. 2013-2020, China’s marriage registration pairs from the historical high of 13.47 million pairs continued to decline to 8.13 million pairs, down 12.2% year-on-year in 2020. 2013-2019, the crude marriage rate fell from 9.9 ‰ to 6.6 ‰. Among them, the number of first marriages fell from 23.86 million to 13.987 million, the number of remarriages rose from 3.079 million to 4.559 million, and the number of remarriage pairs climbed from 299,000 to 619,000.
Second, the phenomenon of “late marriage” is prominent; 25-29 years old has replaced 20-24 years old as the new “main force” of marriage, and the proportion of marriage registrations in the higher age group (over 40 years old) has increased significantly. 2005-2019, 20-24 years old From 2005 to 2019, the number of registered marriages (including remarriages) decreased from 47.0% to 19.7%, the number of 25-29 year olds increased from 34.3% to 34.6%, and the number of registered marriages of 30-34 year olds, 35-39 year olds and over 40 year olds increased from 9.9%, 4.9% and 3.9% to 17.7%, 8.1% and 19.9% respectively.
Third, the number of divorced pairs and the divorce rate continue to climb over time. from 1987 to 2020, the number of registered divorced pairs in China climbed from 580,000 to 3.73 million. from 1987 to 2019, the crude divorce rate climbed from 0.5 per 1,000 to 3.4 per 1,000.
@YouSense: When discussing fertility rates, a concept is often mentioned: “replacement fertility”. It means that the average woman needs to have several children in her lifetime to keep the population from decreasing from generation to generation.
When talking about “replacement level”, the number often mentioned is 2.1, which basically takes into account the fact that some women do not have children and some children will die young.
But in fact, there is an implicit premise to the 2.1 figure – the sex ratio needs to be basically normal.
What kind of fertility rate can maintain “the population of this generation ≈ the population of the next generation” is related to the “sex ratio of this generation. Where the sex ratio is abnormal, such as where there are significantly more men than women, the “generation replacement level” will be significantly higher.
It’s easy to imagine an extreme situation.
If there are 99 men in 100 people, the woman would have to have 100 children to “reach the generation replacement level”.
If there are 99 men and 99 women in a population of 100, the average woman would only have to have 1.01 children per woman to “reach the level of generational replacement.
As for the decline in the number of births in China, how much of it is due to the change in fertility attitudes – “can have children but don’t want to”? And how much is due to the gradual decline of women of childbearing age – “if you want to have a baby, you have to have a baby first”?
I hope the data from the seventh census will come out soon. We’ll have the answer then.
@PoeticCode: Two years ago I said.
“China lacks three kinds of education: education of sex, education of love, and education of death. These three kinds of education correspond to the three fulcrums of life: the integrity of the body, the abundance of the soul, and the value of life.”
Now I will say it again.
Bodily integrity is bodily autonomy. Not to be commandeered, not to be enslaved, not to be kidnapped as a pawn in any game of chess, whether man or woman, fully aware of “I”, understanding that I belong to myself and TA belongs to TA.
Soul abundance is thought autonomy. To judge love, to express love, to accept love, to create love, to be sincere and not humble, to be frank and not afraid. Understanding that one has the freedom to love and not to love, to agree and not to agree, and to respect the freedom of others.
The value of life is ultimate peace and clarity. To accept the fact that one will soon die in the measure of the universe, and that any life is equally quick to perish. On this basis, stand outside the flood and ask yourself: What kind of landscape do you, just you, want to see and what kind of traces do you want to leave before you die?
Be a human being, people. To become, human.
Vibrant, sexual, master of your destiny, passionate and eager for this precious journey.
Don’t be the fuel. But you have to ignite yourself.
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