Recently, the aging problem in mainland China has become more and more prominent, and many experts and scholars have issued warnings, but no matter what policies the Chinese Communist government has introduced, the people’s desire to have children has not changed substantially. People are under the heavy pressure of education, medical care, housing prices and pensions, and they cannot afford to live, feed, give birth or die. The root cause of the various social oddities in China today is the “industrialization of education” and “industrialization of medical care” during the Jiang Zemin era, the 1988 housing reform that led to land finance, and the rapid rise in housing prices…. Education, medical care, housing prices, etc., etc., have become numerous pipes that suck the blood of the people. China’s aging problem is just one of the problems that mainland China is facing.
On Thursday, Ren Zeping, a well-known mainland economist, warned on his Weibo account that China’s aging is accelerating and that the country will enter a super-aging society around 2030. Ren Zeping himself predicts that mainland China will not only liberalize the third child in the future, but may even reward the birth of four or five children, “like in Russia, by granting the title of heroic mother”. Ren Zeping’s words sparked a lot of debate on the Internet, and people seemed less interested in being “heroic mothers” and “heroic fathers” than in spouting off, focusing on the mountains of education, health care and housing prices.
On April 15, Ren Zeping posted an article on his microblog, saying, “China’s aging is accelerating, and by about 2030, China will enter a super-aging society. If the policy is not adjusted, the potential growth rate of China’s economy will fall, the savings rate will fall, the burden of social security will rise, the government’s debt will rise, the vitality of social innovation and entrepreneurship will fall, and the competitiveness of the country will fall. “
Ren Zeping himself expects that “the fertility policy may be adjusted in the 14th Five-Year Plan period. It is best to fully liberalize childbirth, if not, first liberalize the third child, accelerate the construction of a childbirth support system, such as female employment protection, increase childcare services, increase public spending on education, health care, social security, and the establishment of an age-friendly urban society. So take care of your health, it is estimated that the 14th Five-Year Plan will liberalize childbirth, according to the speed of aging, to the 15th Five-Year Plan may encourage childbirth, by then not only three children liberalized, four children five children may be given incentives, like Russia, awarded the title of heroic mother. “
The article has sparked a lot of discussion, only in NetEase, there are thousands of netizens responding to this topic, the highest number of likes a reply said “school room, tuition classes, unbearable pressure”, this reply as of writing there are 846 top, to express their support.
Another netizen replied to Ren Zeping, “Give me your $15 million annual salary, and I promise to have five children,” which received 480 tops.
Some people replied with a joking comment, “Don’t marry a wife, marry a sow, a soccer team per child”, meaning that these experts have bad ideas and don’t treat people as human beings.
Others said, “Four or five children will be rewarded, or an uncertain future. The first thing you need to do is to get a good idea of what you are getting into.
Some people are almost desperate to say “don’t believe, tired, sleepy, can’t live, it’s your home you yourself, good food, good fun, to the old to leave some money into the nursing home, or to go to the location of euthanasia” This reply has 111 likes support, it is heartbreaking to read.
Some netizens spoke directly to the essence of the problem, “health insurance, education fees, employment difficulties, pension insurance fees are too high, little social welfare, how young people have children?” “Sick, born who can afford to raise, money”
Some netizens even directly dislike “that also do not give birth, unless to raise to 18 years old.”
Ren Zeping warns: China’s aging, the problem of childlessness is on the horizon
In his speech at the China Development Forum in March, Ren Zeping clearly pointed out the aging problem in mainland China.
“The group of people born between 1962 and 1976 are withdrawing from the labor market and entering the old age society.
How did China’s aging and childlessness come about? This is probably the big difference between our aging and childlessness and those of Europe, America and Japan.
It gives us a very short window of time, and the top is sharp, not round. I think this is a preliminary understanding of our aging and less children and a projection of the future.
If we keep our current policies intact, China’s total population will shrink dramatically by 2050; by 2100, our population will drop to 800 million and our share of the global population will fall from 19% to 7%.
Even more serious is the accelerated onset of aging in China. By 2033, more than 20% of the population will be over 65 years old, which is called “super aging”; by 2060, 1/3 of the Chinese population will be over 65 years old, which is a very serious challenge.
From the perspective of economics, that is the gradual disappearance of China’s demographic dividend, what is the impact of this? After the arrival of aging, the social dependency ratio rises, the burden of old age increases, the pressure on social security rises, government debt rises, and the vitality of social innovation and entrepreneurship decreases ……”
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