Rumor has it that Cui Tiankai will remain in his post despite his overage, revealing the Chinese Communist Party’s judgment on U.S.-China relations?

The South China Morning Post reported last week, citing sources in Beijing, that Chinese Ambassador to the United States Cui Tiankai is expected to remain in his post. The Chinese government does not plan to replace Cui Tiankai in the near future in order to manage tensions with the Biden administration and to prepare for a long-term confrontation with competition.

Today, Ming Pao published an op-ed in the Hong Kong media, saying that the Chinese Communist Party‘s decision not to replace Cui Tiankai in the short term means that Beijing judges that the Biden Administration will continue the Trump administration’s China Policy in the short term, so China’s (CCP) strategy toward the U.S. will not need to change either.

Professor Zhang Tianliang, a famous history scholar, current affairs analyst and commentator, has also pointed out in an analysis on his personal Youtube channel that, in general, Sino-US relations will not change significantly and quickly. He believes that the most important concern of the Chinese Communist Party in Sino-US relations may be to lift the sanctions on huawei and allow the Chinese Communist Party to use the latest US technology, but on this point, it is difficult for Biden to make concessions as soon as possible because it really concerns the national security of the US and the future international order.

Zhang Tianliang analyzed that although Biden’s son has a handle in the hands of the Chinese Communist Party, the U.S. still has the opposition party, the media and the military hawks who will not allow Biden to make too many concessions in these areas.

The Ming Pao article also raises another possibility for Beijing not replacing Cui Tiankai, namely that there is no suitable successor at the moment.

Cui Tiankai became ambassador to the U.S. in April 2013, the first ambassador to the U.S. since Xi Jinping took office and the longest serving CCP ambassador to the U.S.

In early January, the Sing Tao Daily reported that Vice Foreign Minister Ma Zhaoxu and Liu Jianchao, deputy director of the CCP’s Central Foreign Affairs Office, were both likely favorites to be the next ambassador to the United States.