The emergence of the Quadrilateral Axis Alliance and the Quadrilateral Mechanism Alliance is no accident. It is a coalition of the communist evil of the Chinese Communist Party and the world’s last dark forces to confront the existing, fragile democratic institutions of humanity. Secretary of State Antony Blinken (far left) of the Biden cabinet and Japanese Foreign Minister Toshimitsu Motegi meet in Tokyo on March 16 of this year.
After a two-month delay since the Biden Administration took office, a high-level ministerial meeting with the Chinese Communist Party is finally on the horizon. Biden’s Secretary of State Blinken and National Security Adviser Sullivan are scheduled to meet in Anchorage, Alaska, with Yang Jiechi, a member of the Chinese Communist Party’s foreign affairs bureau, and Wang Yi, State Councilor and Foreign Minister. The two sides are said to discuss “a range of issues.
What observers are looking at is the timing of the meeting. The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) has just joined and led a four-nation coalition within the United Nations to confront Europe and the United States, while the United States has just spearheaded another quadripartite coalition aimed squarely at the CCP regime. What is the mystery of the highest diplomatic talks between the four countries’ axis alliance and the four-party mechanism alliance, newly established, as they begin to saber-rattling and begin to sharpen their confrontation? It is certainly no coincidence, but a union between the communist evil of the Chinese Communist Party and the last dark forces in the world to confront the existing and fragile democratic institutions of humanity!
We all remember Trump‘s Secretary of State Pompeo, who disgraced the Chinese Communist Party on the international stage and who was considered an “enemy of the people” by the Chinese Communist Party and publicly abused him in a Cultural Revolution style. Now, the Chinese Communist Party has taken the initiative to send a senior official to meet with Biden’s Secretary of State, showing that the Chinese Communist Party is eager to understand the attitude and position of the new U.S. administration. In a previous hearing before the House Foreign Affairs Committee, Blinken said the meeting would be an opportunity to lay out U.S. concerns to Beijing in a “frank” manner.
But what is odd about the meeting is that the Americans are on the doorstep of the Chinese Communist Party, but the U.S. side is reluctant to meet and has to return to the United States; yet the secretary of state has not returned to his Home country to save face for the Chinese Communist Party. Secretary of State Blinken and Secretary of Defense Austin were in Japan and South Korea before the meeting between top U.S. and Chinese officials. Mr. Secretary of State could have made a side trip to Beijing, but he did not, and instead was accompanied by National Security Advisor Sullivan, who faced the Chinese Communist Party officials together. The Chinese camp was also oddly not diplomatically equivalent: Secretary of State and National Security Adviser on the U.S. side, Politburo member and State Councilor and Foreign Minister in charge of foreign affairs on the CCP side; the U.S. side clearly wanted to talk about diplomacy and security, while the CCP avoided the issue of regional security.
Biden’s White House spokeswoman, Shaggy, has said that the Biden administration will approach relations with the CCP in lockstep with its allies. She emphasized that the Biden administration’s first meeting with Chinese Communist Party officials was “on American soil” and took place “after we met and consulted closely with our allies and partners in Asia and Europe.” The implication is self-explanatory: the CCP is begging for a meeting and wants to meet in Beijing, but the U.S. won’t agree to a top-level meeting and has to have CCP officials come all the way to the U.S. to meet.
What makes Zhongnanhai uneasy is that they are not yet sure if they have the Biden administration in hand; if they have the cards, or the leverage, to boss the Biden administration around. The uncertainty in Zhongnanhai is growing as Time goes on, and the Biden administration’s “New Asian Mini-NATO” alliance is making the Communist Party feel even more uncomfortable. Biden just held his first “Quad” meeting with the leaders of India, Japan and Australia last Friday. The Quad is seen as an effort to strengthen U.S. diplomatic influence in Asia, deepen U.S. strategic deployment in the Indo-Pacific, and provide a strong counterweight to the economic and military influence of the Chinese Communist Party in the region. It has been called Asia’s mini-NATO, which is not too much of an overstatement. One only has to look at the geopolitical map of the United States, Japan, Australia, and India to see how this four-nation pocket encircles the Chinese Communist Party, leaving it vulnerable on three fronts: the East, the South, and the West. It is easy to imagine that Asia’s mini-NATO may be as strong a threat to the Chinese Communist Party as the NATO countries in the West are to the Warsaw Pact countries in the East.
According to Bonnie Glaser, director of the China Power Project at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, a Washington think tank, what the United States is showing Beijing with this arrangement is that the United States has a powerful alliance. Indeed, the new U.S. Asian alliance against the Chinese Communist Party is not just a military alliance like NATO, but a combination of Japan, Australia, and India that is not only military, but also geopolitical, economic and trade, mineral resources, advanced technology, and even health and Epidemic prevention.
Beijing hopes to establish various dialogue mechanisms with Washington to avoid “miscalculation. In congressional hearings, Blinken said that U.S.-China meetings “will not return to the high-level dialogue model of the past. Biden administration officials have learned a lot from the Trump Administration‘s understanding of the Chinese Communist Party and realize that the so-called strategic and economic dialogues and high-level dialogue mechanisms between the U.S. and China in the past have achieved little or no benefit. It remains to be seen whether Blinken’s statement that “there is no intention to engage in a series of follow-up contacts” and his call for “tangible progress and tangible results” will be achieved. But in the eyes of the Chinese Communist Party, the outlook looks very bleak.
The Communist Party, perhaps because of the mess in U.S. domestic politics, is pleased with itself, and has even become more confident. Recently, when setting the tone for the “two sessions”, the Communist Party leader said that “the East is rising and the West is falling”, but Xi Jinping also said that “China’s security situation is more unstable and uncertain”. This should refer to the situation in the South China Sea, the Taiwan Strait and the Sino-Indian border. The U.S. “Quad” alliance is aimed at this weakness of the Chinese Communist Party. The U.S. military’s professional understanding of this has taken shape since the Trump presidency. Philip Davidson, commander of U.S. Indo-Pacific Command, said that China expects to replace U.S. leadership and that resolving the Taiwan issue is part of China’s ambition, and that the threat could become apparent in the next 10 years, or even six years. The “Quad” alliance of the Chinese Communist Party with Russia, North Korea and Iran is clearly an attempt to accelerate this process, while the U.S. “Quad” alliance is delaying the process and containing the Chinese Communist Party’s adventures.
The Communist Party’s so-called “Quad” alliance began at the United Nations in early March of this year. According to Reuters, 16 countries, led by the Chinese Communist Party, Russia, North Korea and Iran, formed a coalition to defend the U.N. Charter by “rejecting the use or threat of use of force and unilateral sanctions. They formed the “Group of Friends of the UN Charter”. Hilariously, as one senior European diplomat responded, “These so-called friends are the ones who violate the UN Charter the most. Maybe they should start by respecting human rights and fundamental freedoms in their own countries.” Other crooked members of the panel include Algeria, Angola, Belarus, Bolivia, Cambodia, Cuba, Eritrea, Laos, Nicaragua, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Syria and Venezuela.
The window of time for the Chinese Communist Party to realize its strategic ambitions is likely to be the next 2-6 years. The South China Morning Post reports that Chinese scholars advocate taking advantage of the fact that the United States has not yet overcome its power transition and plague epidemic to “seize the time to develop a grand strategy to deal with Biden’s new containment policies” within two years. ” Liu Yuanchun of Renmin University of China believes that Biden’s policy toward China will only modify some of the Trump-era non-sustainable parts, and in some areas will launch a medium- to long-term containment strategy, “the U.S. technology containment may be more severe than the Trump era.” Zhang Ming of the Institute of Finance at the Academy of Social Sciences also believes that the U.S. will adopt a grand strategy of integrating political and economic policies to contain China. Liu Qing of the Institute for National Development and Strategic Studies at Renmin University of China believes that the Communist Party of China will have a “window of opportunity” in the next two years to “gain the upper hand” in bilateral economic relations.
The U.S. four-nation alliance is not only limited to the four countries in the Asia-Pacific region, but also has other European allies behind it. The British government released a document in mid-March, revealing Britain’s post-Brexit foreign policy priorities. The British government will expand its influence among the democracies in the Indo-Pacific region and maintain close ties with the United States to counter the Chinese Communist threat. Britain sees the Indo-Pacific region “emerging as the geopolitical center of the world” and announced that Prime Minister Johnson will embark on a previously postponed visit to India in April.
The clearest signal that the U.S. is using the Asia-Pacific Quadruple Alliance to counter the Chinese Communist Party is the U.S. Coast Guard’s expedition to the Western Pacific to confront the Chinese navy. Since late last year, the U.S. Coast Guard has deployed new state-of-the-art speedboats to Guam, and for the first time, the Coast Guard has an attaché from the U.S. Embassy in Canberra, Australia, with another attaché moving to Singapore next year. Coast Guard activity in the Western Pacific and off the coast of China has been steadily increasing. 2019 saw them deploy patrol ships in the Western Pacific for more than a dozen months, which is clearly not patrolling America’s maritime borders! The Coast Guard is also working with the U.S. Navy’s Seventh Fleet to cross the Taiwan Strait to deter the Chinese Communist Party.
The new axis alliance of the four nations and the alliance of the quadrilateral mechanism, formed almost simultaneously, is about to begin a saber-rattling, sharp-edged confrontation. The formation of these two groups is obviously no accident; it is a union between the communist evil of the Chinese Communist Party and the last dark forces in the world to confront the existing and increasingly fragile democratic institutions of mankind. People believe that good must triumph over evil, but the lessons of world history teach us that before the dawn comes, there is often a tormenting darkness.
(Dr. Sheeda is Chair Professor at the Aiken School of Business, University of South Carolina, USA)