The Animal Husbandry and Veterinary Bureau of the Ministry of Agriculture and rural Affairs of the Communist Party of China issued a notice and document this week calling for a reduction in the amount of corn and soybean meal used in animal feed to promote “stable supply” of feed grains, reigniting speculation that China is running out of Food.
According to the Voice of America, the mainland media published the “Work Plan for Corn and Soybean Meal Reduction and Substitution in Feed” issued by the Bureau of Animal Husbandry and Veterinary Medicine of the Ministry of Agriculture, which mentions that the goal of the work is to “fully exploit existing feed resources and establish accurate nutritional value parameters to optimize the structure of feed formulas” and “reduce the proportion of corn and soybean meal in animal feed. The goal of the work is to “fully exploit the existing feed resources, establish accurate nutritional value parameters to optimize the adjustment of feed formula structure”, “reduce the proportion of corn and soybean meal in the feed, to provide strong technical support to ensure the balance of supply and demand of feed grain and stabilize the overall food security.
The “program” also mentioned the need to establish a new technical system for the configuration of feed grain, respectively, the use of “rice, wheat, mixed grains, potatoes, miscellaneous meal and other agricultural by-products and other raw materials” instead of corn, soybean meal feed formula adjustment program.
The program also requires the completion of the “technical system integration and demonstration and promotion work program” by the end of April, to determine the demonstration enterprises, and in the year the organization to carry out demonstration and promotion.
Bloomberg reported that China’s purchases of corn and soybean meal, two commodities, have reached record levels because demand for animal feed, cooking oil and industrial products outstrips China’s own production capacity.
According to data released by the General Administration of Customs of the Communist Party of China, China’s cumulative grain imports from January to December 2020 totaled 142.621 million tons (surpassing 140 million tons for the first Time), an increase of 31.175 million tons or 27.97 percent year-on-year; among them, soybean imports crossed the 100 million ton mark, while corn and wheat imports were a record 11.3 million tons and 8.38 million tons, respectively, with corn imports more than doubling from the previous year. more than doubled. In addition, meat imports increased by 60.4%.
According to Reuters, the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) said on Tuesday (16) that China signed the largest U.S. corn purchase order since January.
Just a month ago, the Communist Party released its 19th Central Document No. 1 guiding the work of the three rural areas, which emphasized food security while claiming that China’s grain output would reach a record high of 1,339 billion jins by 2020. But outside analysts say the claim of increased production is “an outright lie” considering the serious impact of last year’s major Epidemic and floods.
According to commentator Wang He, if the “Central Document No. 1” is true, China does not see the need for a sharp increase in food imports from the perspective of food supply.
In the past year, the Chinese Communist Party has repeatedly emphasized food security, and Xi Jinping also stressed during his visit to Jilin on July 22 last year that “food security should be given prominence.” This was followed by a “fierce” campaign to conserve food throughout the country. According to the outside world, the Chinese Communist Party authorities have repeatedly emphasized “food security”, highlighting the imminence of the mainland’s food crisis.
Some experts predict that by 2030, China’s total food demand may reach a peak, with demand for corn exceeding 300 million tons and total demand for soybeans approaching 120 million tons.
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