Former U.S. President Donald Trump speaks at the conservative convention CPAC on Feb. 28, 2021.
Both Democratic and Republican campaign strategists interviewed welcomed the return of former U.S. President Donald Trump (Trump) to run in 2024, but for very different reasons of support.
“If Trump runs in 2024, it will certainly add a jolt to the campaign. The Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) poll shows he remains the most influential figure in the Republican Party, although support is shrinking.” said Kevin Chavous, a Democratic strategist based in Washington.
He said Democrats are not and should not be afraid of a Trump campaign, mainly because for every hard-core Trump supporter, there are nearly two Trump “resisters” who will vote for someone other than Trump.
Chavous believes that a Trump candidacy in 2024 would almost certainly allow the Democrats to retain the White House.
Christy Setzer, a former campaign spokeswoman for former Democratic Vice President AI Gore and now communications director for the AFL-CIO, also said the prospect of a Trump run in 2024 would help the Democrats retain their current congressional majority.
“In a way, it’s a good thing. For the Democrats, 2022 represents an existential threat to democracy. If we don’t keep the House and Senate, there’s a very real fear that Republicans are using redistricting and voter suppression laws to keep the Democrats the minority party forever.” Seitzig told.
“That means the Democrats have to keep the base engaged and motivated, and Trump supporters have a stake in making that happen, as do policy wins, like the New Coronavirus (COVID, Chinese Communist Virus) Relief Act,” she added.
The AFL-CIO, a federation of 55 unions representing 12.5 million members, is one organization that played a key role in the Democratic victory in the 2020 election.
Currently, Democrats control the House of Representatives with a 10-vote margin, while the Senate is split 50-50 between the two parties, with Vice President Kamala Harris (Hejinli, Kamala Harris) holding the tiebreaking vote. Typically, the party that controls the White House tends to lose seats in the first congressional election after winning the presidency.
On the other hand, most of the Republican strategists interviewed believe that Trump’s 2024 candidacy will have a strengthening effect on the Republican Party.
Brian Darling, a former senior adviser to Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) and president of Liberal Government Affairs, said, “It would be good for President Trump to open the door and run again because it would keep a record number of voters who voted for Trump in 2020 interested in the 2022 midterm elections and participation in the 2024 general election.”
Darling predicts that Republicans will recapture the congressional majority in 2022, with the vote serving as a referendum on the Biden administration’s extreme policies, which range from the so-called Equality Act to the $1.9 trillion stimulus package, a Democratic priority.
Richard Manning, president of Americans for Limited Government (ALG), agreed. “It’s important to note that President Trump is defending his incredible, powerful political legacy,” he said.
“A Trump presidency is a political necessity that will galvanize opposition to Biden, (House Speaker) Pelosi, (Senate Democratic Leader) Schumer and their big tech brownshirt madness.”
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