Even if Taiwan does not declare independence, Beijing will act whenever it is ready, and the Chinese Communist Party “will probably attack Taiwan within five years,” according to Oriana Skylar Mastro, a research fellow at Stanford University’s Graduate School of International Studies.
Oriana Skylar Mastro, a researcher at Stanford University’s Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies, was quoted by the U.S. media as saying that Beijing’s attitude in the past was that it would only wage war if Taiwan formally declared independence, but now the Chinese Communist Party’s attitude is more aggressive, and even if Taiwan does not declare independence, as long as Beijing is ready, it will Even if Taiwan does not declare independence, Beijing will act as soon as it is ready, and “it is likely to attack Taiwan within five years.
Roll Call, a U.S. media outlet specializing in congressional news, quoted Mei Hui Lin as saying, “I think the biggest threat right now is that Beijing will launch a military campaign to force ‘reunification’ regardless of the policies or actions of Washington or Taipei. ” She added that a Chinese Communist Party military leader told her that while some Western analysts predict that the CCP is five years or more away from being able to attack Taiwan as a goal, they believe that Xi Jinping, chairman of the CCP Central Military Commission, has concluded that the CCP military will be able to occupy and seize Taiwan within a year or two.
May testified to the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission (USCC) hearing via videoconference last Thursday (18). According to Mei’s assessment, the U.S. ability to defend Taiwan “is without question the weakest it has been since the Korean War.
May and other Taiwan experts suggested that the Biden administration should help bring Taiwan into line with the international community and that the U.S. should rely on other allies to “let Beijing know that the Chinese Communist Party will pay a heavy price if it wants to unify Taiwan by force.
Mei stressed that Xi is likely to wait for the right moment before attacking Taiwan, and will not lightly use force because of “lesser” provocations. The U.S. is not necessarily going to be a major cross-strait conflict if the U.S. makes high-level visits to Taiwan or if the U.S. sells more weapons to Taiwan.
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