Some mainland scholars worry that the mainland’s population collapse has arrived and that this decline will not bottom out.
According to the birth statistics released by some local governments in mainland China, the mainland birth population is declining, and in some areas the decline is more than 20%. Some mainland scholars are concerned that the population collapse has arrived on the mainland, and this decline will not bottom out. Experts say this is a disaster caused by the Chinese Communist Party‘s “one-child” policy, and that the population crisis will bring down China’s economy.
Liang Jianzhang, founder of China Ctrip and a professor at Peking University’s Guanghua School of Management, recently wrote an article on Caixin.com, listing the number of births announced by some local governments for 2020.
He cited that Guangzhou will have about 195,500 births, down 9 percent from the same period in 2019; Wenzhou will have about 73,230 births, down 19.01 percent year-on-year; Hefei will have 23 percent fewer births than in 2019; and Taizhou will have 32.6 percent fewer births year-on-year. The number of births in Guangzhou in 2020 is the lowest level in the past 10 years, and Wenzhou is at a new low in the past 6 years. In the article, Liang said, “The mainland’s population collapse has arrived, and this decline will not bottom out if the fertility rate cannot be significantly boosted.”
The National Bureau of Statistics of the Communist Party of China recently said that it will delay the release of birth data for 2020.
The “one-child” perversion is against human nature
In an interview with Epoch Times, Chiu Shih-Yi, an associate professor of political science at Tunghai University in Taiwan, said that the “one-child” policy implemented by the Chinese Communist Party is the main cause of the population collapse, forcing each Family to have only one child, which is a perverted and inhumane policy.
The “one-child” policy is commonly referred to as “family planning” in China. Due to the traditional preference for sons and the transmission of incense, the family is limited to one child per family, resulting in many tragic stories. He mentioned that this has led to the brutalization of baby girls and forced abortions, which have led to numerous man-made tragedies and social problems in China in the last decade or so, such as more men than women and men not being able to find Marriage partners.
Although Beijing has abolished the one-child policy this year, many women in mainland China still do not have the freedom to become pregnant.
According to an analysis by Feinian Chen, a professor of sociology at the University of Maryland, cited by Radio Free Asia on Feb. 2, past demographic observations show that there is a huge gap between the 25-29 age group and the 30-34 age group. The former, the prime age for women to have children in mainland China, is about 1 percent less than the next age group, which is about 14 million people.
“There is a huge drop in the number of women who are capable of having children, or are in their prime childbearing years.” If China’s fertility rate continues to decline in the future, Chen said, the pressure of an aging population will follow, which will not only affect the economy, but also create social problems such as caring for the elderly population; even if the government intends to save the fertility rate, it will not help for now.
Family planning is a tragic social tragedy
The main reason for the one-child policy is that “in China under the Chinese Communist Party, human Life is not important.” Qiu Shiyi said. After the implementation of the one-child policy, many social problems have arisen in Chinese society, including extinction, forced abortions, bachelor villages, wife buying, the abandoned baby trade, the little emperor, and more. Qiu Shiyi said that these social problems were caused by the Chinese Communist Party’s officials’ words and hasty implementation of the policy, but the Chinese people have to suffer these hardships.
In fact, the Chinese Communist Party introduced birth control in 1955 and began implementing the “one-child policy” in 1979. But since 2013, the CCP has said that “if one of the Parents is an only child, they can have two children,” and in 2016, it completely opened up the “two-child policy” in hopes of reducing population pressure and even opening up the possibility of having a third child.
But Fang Fengmei, a former Wall Street Journal reporter and Pulitzer Prize winner for journalism, argues that “it’s too late, and many families find it too expensive and stressful to raise children.” Fang’s insightful investigative reporting on the Chinese Communist Party’s “one-child” policy in the past has drawn attention from all walks of life.
The “Population Collapse” is Bringing Down China’s Economy
In her report, Fang mentioned that when the CCP was preparing to implement the one-child policy, an economics lecturer, Liang Zhongtang, who was the only person to publicly criticize the policy at the Time, warned at the CCP’s population conference in Chengdu that the one-child policy would be “a tragic tragedy” that would lead to a “a lifeless society with no future to speak of”. He foresaw an aging population with a lack of family support, and a family structure in which two adult women must support four elderly people and one child.
The Taiwanese scholar, Wu Serz, has also written that in the long run, the population problem will be a major problem for China’s economic development; because of the huge urban-rural divide and the lack of a complete industrial development process in the mainland, the impact of a declining population in the mainland will be more severe than in other countries.
As for the above-mentioned crisis of population collapse in China, Qiu Shiyi also agreed. He said, now China’s society shows a lot of old people, few children, wait until the youth stage of work, must carry the huge elderly population, the elderly population is not productive, the entire Chinese population society into the “inverted pyramid” structure, resulting in China’s social and economic crisis. He even said bluntly, “The demographic problem will eventually bring down China’s economy.”
The Communist Party’s one-child policy was abandoned earlier this year. But four decades of severe regulation have led to a shrinking workforce and a rapidly aging population, putting great pressure on China’s social services.
Pushing aberrant policies CCP thinks differently than people
From the demographic crisis caused by one-child rule, in looking back at the CCP’s past record, including the Great Leap Forward and the Cultural Revolution, “the CCP would always implement policies in a very monstrous way.”
There will be these disastrous policies and actions. He admits that besides the fact that maintaining the Chinese Communist Party’s regime is the first priority, the fundamental problem is that the CCP is unable to understand normal society and normal human thinking, which is why the one-child policy was hastily introduced, resulting in a demographic crisis some thirty years later, and thus causing a catastrophe in China.
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