State Department officials recently said that there is no rush to engage China; one of the Biden administration’s current priorities in its China Policy is to consult with allies and partner countries before engaging directly with China on major areas of mutual interest. This is odd because the U.S.-China relationship is undoubtedly the most important bilateral relationship in the world, involving the security, peace and stability of the United States, China and the world, from the military to politics to economics, science and technology, and trade. But in the two weeks since the Biden Administration took office, Biden has spoken to leaders of several countries around the world, and Secretary Blinken has taken similar actions, but has been slow to speak to the leaders of the Chinese Communist Party, which of course has led to speculation.
In fact, whether President Trump‘s strategy to encircle the Chinese Communist Party and his grand plan to fight the Communist Party globally will now be interrupted or even buried, and whether the United States itself will follow the path of Venezuela, are topics of concern to the American people and the people of the world. Frankly speaking, Biden is not not eager to engage with the CCP? Could it be because he doesn’t know what they will say and what to say once they meet? The Chinese Communist Party is trying to influence the U.S. election with a lot of human and material resources, is this not the Time to force a debt and ask for a return? If the left-wing team cannot clarify their entanglement with the CCP and dare not face up to the CCP’s intervention, then of course they will be embarrassed not knowing how to respond, and then they will also feel that there is nothing to contact and nothing to say then.
State Department spokesman Ned Price was asked at a regular press conference in early February whether the U.S. was delaying interaction with China on some major global issues. He replied that it was about “the sequencing of our actions on a broad range of foreign policy issues.” If the U.S. is really making sure it is in lockstep with its allies and in lockstep with its partners first, and then working together against the CCP, that is certainly fine and consistent with the U.S. strategy. But the Biden administration’s banner of “strategic patience” in the face of repeated provocations by the Chinese Communist Party, and the wholesale elimination of State Department personnel during Trump’s first term, has raised concerns that the U.S. will not let the Chinese Communist Party get away with it!
The Atlantic Council released a new study in early February with the interesting title, “A Longer Telegram: America’s Latest Strategy on China.” The author of the report is, in fact, anonymous.
The Atlantic Council, a six-decade old American think tank founded in 1961, focuses on international affairs and provides a platform for leading figures in international politics, business, and the intellectual community. They have ten regional and functional research centers that specialize in global economic and security issues. They use the term “The Longer Telegram” in this report because of the history of the famous “The Long Telegram”.
The Long Telegram was an 8,000-word telegram sent back to the United States in February 1946 by George F. Kennan, a diplomat at the U.S. Embassy in Moscow. The lengthy report, completed at the request of the U.S. State Department, was originally intended to understand why the Russians were opposed to the creation of the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund. The report, completed at the request of the U.S. State Department, was initially intended to understand why the Russians were opposed to the creation of the World Bank and International Monetary Fund. But the report ultimately helped the U.S. government confirm its hard-line policy toward the former Soviet Union, setting the stage for the U.S. containment strategy during the U.S.-Soviet Cold War.
Kennan is credited with confirming that the Soviet communist regime did not believe it would live in peace with the capitalist world in the long term, and that the United States must therefore adopt a containment approach to the expansion of Soviet communism. Kennan later published a study under the anonymous pseudonym “X” that clarified his views in the “Long Telegram. It is therefore intriguing that more than 70 years later a study of the “longer telegram,” also published anonymously, was directed at one of the last and largest communist regimes, the Chinese Communist Party.
The Atlantic Council report clearly states that the single most significant challenge facing the United States in the 21st century is from a rising, increasingly totalitarian Chinese Communist state under Xi Jinping. The Chinese Communist Party has now impacted every aspect of U.S. national interest because of the scale of its economic and military power, the speed of its technological development, and its radically different worldview from that of the United States. And, it is a structural challenge that has evolved over the past 20 years or so. Xi Jinping’s rise to power has accelerated and hastened this challenge for the CCP.
The report notes Xi’s regressive behavior in returning to Mao’s Marxist-Leninist line, systematically eliminating political enemies, bringing Chinese market reforms to a halt, and strengthening the Communist Party’s control over private enterprises, among other things. China’s acceleration into a totalitarian police state under Xi Jinping, the report argues, has extended the CCP’s totalitarian regime, coercive foreign policy, and military deployments beyond China to the rest of the world. As a result, the report considers Xi Jinping a “serious problem” for the entire democratic world. The report argues that both Republican and Democratic administrations need to address this looming challenge.
Obviously, this study was researched, written, and shaped during Trump’s first term, and is supposed to be a policy recommendation to the U.S. government agencies of both parties, based on the latest understanding of the Chinese Communist Party by the U.S. government and the private sector during the Trump era. It can be said that it is a continuation of Trump’s policy on the siege of the CCP and presented in the form of a think tank report for the future U.S. government to adopt and implement. The report refers to the Trump Administration‘s 2017 “U.S. National Security Strategy” and praises the Trump administration for sounding the alarm to the American people about the ambitions of the Chinese Communist Party!
The report, which is based on the latest and most comprehensive understanding of the Chinese Communist Party in the United States, also identifies ten strategic recommendations, all of which are enough to make the Chinese Communist Party tremble and make it difficult for Zhongnanhai to sleep. The report points out that the CCP is more flexible and better at surviving than the Soviet Union. So, instead of expecting the CCP to collapse from within, we should make “overthrowing the CCP” a clear goal! This is very rare.
First, U.S. strategy must be based on four pillars: military power, dollar hegemony, emerging technologies, and freedom and the rule of law. Second, the U.S. strategy must be based on developing the U.S. economy and correcting systemic economic weaknesses. This is the continuation of Trump’s “America First” and “Make America Great Again”. Third, the U.S. strategy toward the CCP must be based on American values and national interests. The fourth point is that the United States must work with its allies to unite against the Chinese Communist Party. The fifth point, related to the fourth, is that the U.S. needs to consider the political and economic needs of its allies and then coordinate its cooperation.
The sixth point is very interesting and is for the U.S. to rebalance (rebalance) its relationship with Russia. This is clearly an embrace of Trump’s “Russia against Communism” strategy, which could also be implemented under Trump’s administration. But it is difficult to implement in a left-wing administration that vilifies Trump for “Russia. The seventh strategy is the most interesting and most alarming to Zhongnanhai: It suggests that the U.S. government cleverly exploit the fault lines within the CCP, i.e., the CCP’s internal strife, especially the anti-Xi infighting against Xi Jinping, to achieve U.S. goals. The eighth point reminds U.S. officials of the “realism” and “pragmatism” of the CCP, which only recognizes fists and strength, not morality, and does not believe in a strategic vacuum.
The ninth point points out the CCP’s weakness, that is, the CCP’s greatest fear and anxiety is the war conflict with the United States! The last point of the U.S. strategy, of course, is that the CCP is very afraid of economic collapse. This is also very true and accurate, the CCP is indeed facing an economic collapse. As long as Trump’s economic war, trade war, and technology war continue to move forward, the CCP is bound to collapse quickly within the year.
The point is that Trump has successfully warned Americans of the danger of the CCP, and this anonymous report by the Atlantic Council reaffirms and confirms Trump’s strategy of encircling the CCP. But now the question of the international community good people are most concerned about is whether these excellent strategic strategies will be implemented by Xiao Cao Cao, or will they be buried by the Biden administration?
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