Analysis: Biden on stage, why Xi Jinping intensified “preparation”?

After Biden‘s inauguration, Xi Jinping‘s administration still stressed the need to intensify “military training and preparation”, and sent a large number of military aircraft to disturb Taiwan and hold military exercises in the South China Sea. Some analysts believe that this intensified preparation is on the one hand to test the Biden Administration, and on the other hand to hold on to the barrel of a gun in the midst of fierce internal strife.

After U.S. President Joe Biden took office on Jan. 20, the Chinese Communist Party sent a large number of military planes one after another to attack Taiwan’s southwestern airspace.

The new U.S. Secretary of Defense, Lloyd Austin, had just taken office on the 22nd. The next day, the Chinese Communist Party immediately sent 8 sorties of Boom-6K bombers, 4 sorties of J-16 fighters, and 1 sortie of Yun-8 anti-submarine aircraft to disturb Taiwan again on a large scale.

The Chinese Communist Party’s big move is obviously very unusual, and it should be deliberately chosen at the moment when the new U.S. Secretary of Defense takes office to see the U.S. reaction, said Shen Zhou, a commentator on the Epoch Times. Such a move, of course, is not only testing the U.S. defense secretary, but also testing Biden and his team, which is equivalent to a military dismount, with obvious provocative implications and quite dangerous.

Shen Zhou believes that the top echelon of the Chinese Communist Party is making a miscalculation. With Biden inaugurated and Trump out of office, the direction of U.S.-China relations is to be determined. According to normal logic, the Chinese Communist Party obviously hopes that after Biden’s presidency, it can reverse Trump’s decoupling policy.

In his four years in office, Trump has launched a comprehensive strategic counteroffensive against the CCP regime, from trade wars to a series of sanctions, to U.S.-China decoupling, with U.S. troops pressing in and the CCP pulling back across the board, and Trump’s aggressive military deterrence strategy has deterred the CCP’s military expansion ambitions.

Before Trump left office, he also declassified the 3 guidelines for defending the first island chain. Shen Zhou said that Trump has implemented an effective strategy to deal with the CCP, and if Biden cannot continue it or is showing a posture of war avoidance, it will undoubtedly fuel the CCP’s ambition and misjudgment.

Shen Zhou believes that the Chinese Communist Party’s top brass is testing the U.S. bottom line, and if the U.S. military is slow to respond or fails to respond forcefully, the CCP is likely to keep hitting the U.S. bottom line, and the risk of military conflict will instead rise.

On Dec. 21, 2020, more than 30 military planes at a U.S. Air Force base “walk the elephant” in formation. (Video screenshot)

Behind Xi Jinping’s “training and preparation for war”

The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) has not only made major moves in the Taiwan Strait, but has also been pushing the U.S. bottom line. On January 24, the 9th round of Sino-Indian military chief-level talks failed to yield results, and clashes were reported along the border.

Wang He, a commentator for the Epoch Times, analyzed that behind the CCP’s “war-edge policy” is the Xi administration’s repeated reference to “training and preparing for war. “Now that Biden is in power, Xi is still emphasizing “training and preparing for war,” which is actually a way to keep the barrel of the gun in check and prevent power from slipping away.

Wang He believes that Hu Jintao’s reign of ten years of power to the side, Xi is deeply cautioned. The first thing you need to do is to get a good idea of what you are getting into. The 20-year personnel layout of Jiang Zemin’s military was completely overturned by Xi Jinping, who took control of the military. But it did not win the hearts and minds of the entire military.

In order to buy the hearts and minds of the military, the Xi administration has vigorously promoted the “professionalization of military officers” and has given the military a substantial pay raise in 2021. According to Wang, Xi is well aware that his military reform and tiger-fighting actions have damaged the vested interests of many military bigwigs, and Xi now wants to use money to buy the hearts and minds of the military.

Can Xi really stabilize the military’s mind and control it while “training and preparing for war” and buying it with money? The government’s decision to use the money to buy the money is not necessarily a good one, said Wang He. 30 years ago, the Soviet Union collapsed after the Soviet army turned against it.