“New Year’s Eve in place” Spring Festival railroad passenger flow is 100 million less, airline tickets are stagnant

China’s Spring Festival 2021 has been set back once again by the Communist Party’s virus epidemic. The picture shows the crowded Spring Festival at Beijing Railway West Station in previous years.

China’s Spring Festival, which is said to be the world’s largest annual migration of people, has been set back again this year by the Communist Party virus epidemic. Most provinces, autonomous regions and municipalities have advocated “spending New Year’s Eve locally” and “not returning home unless necessary,” resulting in an estimated 100 million fewer railroad passengers and stagnant airline tickets, some of which are priced lower than second-class seats on high-speed trains and trains.

On January 15, Li Wenxin, deputy general manager of the Communist Party’s National Railway Group, said that the pre-sale of tickets for the Spring Festival had dropped by nearly 60% compared to the same period in previous years, and that the national railroad passenger flow for the Spring Festival was expected to drop to 296 million passengers. He claimed that the organization of the Spring Festival is affected by the epidemic, and the situation of the organization of the Spring Festival and prevention of the epidemic in the railroad is severe.

At present, 29 provinces, autonomous regions and municipalities, including Beijing, Shanghai, Henan and Shanxi, have taken the initiative to “spend the New Year in place” in order to reduce the movement of people. Prior to this, the Spring Festival passenger flow forecast of the National Railway Group was 407 million passengers. This means that “spending New Year’s Eve locally” will reduce the number of rail travelers by about 27%, affecting more than 100 million passengers.

The situation of civil aviation is similar, in the past, popular lines are often hard to find or sold out of economy class tickets, this year, even in the traditional peak travel on the 29th of the lunar month, many flights still have discounted economy class tickets for sale.

It is reported that this year’s railroad Spring Festival from January 28 to March 8, the end of a total of 40 days.

Ctrip data shows that the average price of economy class air tickets for returning home for the Spring Festival in 2021 is 689 yuan (RMB, the same below), and the price of air tickets for returning home in many parts of the country is on a downward trend.

According to Caijing, the economy class airfares of many routes are even rare lower than the price of second class seats on high-speed trains/motor trains, such as Beijing-Hangzhou, Beijing-Nanjing, Beijing-Shanghai, Beijing-Wuxi, Guangzhou-Hangzhou, Shenzhen-Hangzhou, Chengdu-Hangzhou, Shenzhen-Hangzhou, Chengdu-Hangzhou, etc. Among them, the average price of Chengdu-Hangzhou economy class is only 354 yuan, which is much lower than the 926.5 yuan of the second class seat of high-speed rail/motor train.

As mentioned in the report, the national travel map also shows a north-south difference due to the impact of the epidemic, with the number of people returning home from Beijing significantly reduced, and the top 10 routes are covered by routes departing from Guangzhou-Shenzhen and Shanghai to the outflow of population.

Among them, most of the popular train routes are short-haul provincial, and there are many remaining tickets for previously popular routes today.