Mainland experts pessimistic prediction: the epidemic may be even worse in 2021

A new wave of Chinese Communist virus outbreak is spreading rapidly around the world. As of the 16th, the global death toll reached more than 2 million and more than 90 million confirmed, which equates to 1 out of every 100 people diagnosed. Chinese researchers have made a more pessimistic forecast for the outbreak in 2021, with a total of 5 million deaths worldwide by March.

The Covid-19 outbreak has been raging around the world for more than a year, and as of 7:21 a.m. on Jan. 16, there were more than 937,657,525 infections worldwide; more than 200,661 deaths. This is equivalent to 1 in every 100 people diagnosed.

A new report by Chinese researchers published in the journal Disease Surveillance concluded that the epidemic could hit even harder in 2021 than it did in 2020, with a total of 5 million deaths worldwide by March, the French broadcaster reported on 15 January.

Xu Jianguo, 69, director of the State Key Laboratory of Infectious Disease Prevention and Control at the CDC and a member of the Chinese Academy of Engineering, said the pessimistic prediction has become a reality as more contagious variants of the virus spread around the world, the report said.

Xu Jianguo was the head of the first group of experts dispatched to Wuhan after the earliest outbreaks of pathogenic test results were initially evaluated there. Today Xu coordinates research at the State Key Laboratory of Infectious Disease Prevention and Control at the CDC, the Communist Party’s military, and other military or civilian infectious disease research institutions within China.

Xu’s research was published in the journal “Disease Surveillance” on August 8. According to the researchers, infectious disease simulations show that at least 3 million more people are expected to die by early March, and a worse-case scenario would be a global total of 5 million deaths. That means the death rate is 3 percent.

That would cause a collapse of the global health system, meaning that as the virus mutates, variants could hide in the population and strike every season, said a comment from a scholar at the Shanghai Pasteur Institute of the Chinese Academy of Sciences.

In this case, the researchers believe that the Chinese model of preventing the epidemic, which involves the mass closure of cities and testing and the implementation of strict health restrictions to stop the spread of the disease, will not help.

Currently, more infectious variants of the CCP virus have emerged in more than 10 countries, including China, Japan, the United Kingdom and South Africa.

Harvard epidemiologist Dr. Eric Feigl-Ding has warned that as variants of the CCP virus emerge, “we’ll be totally screwed” by spring.

The outbreak began in Wuhan, Hubei province, in December 2019, but between the end of that year and mid-January 2020, Communist authorities falsely claimed three times that the outbreak was “preventable and controllable, with no apparent human-to-human transmission. It was not until January 20, 2020 that the CCP admitted for the first time that the virus was “human-to-human”. But by this time, the epidemic was completely out of control and rapidly spreading around the world.

According to expert analysis, since the outbreak in Wuhan in late 2019, the global epidemic has been rising in three waves, with each wave higher than the next.

The first wave spread from China to the world in March and April 2020; the virus spread for a second time worldwide in June and July; and a third wave emerged after October, when the variant virus began to spread quietly.

The slope of the third wave became significantly steeper and stronger than the previous two waves. This is even more evident when one looks at the changes in the UK and Japan. What is even more alarming is that the “plateau” period of the third wave has not yet arrived.

Generally speaking, the spread of the virus first has a “rapid rise” phase, which is an exponential rise; then enters a “plateau” phase, which is basically towards a remission phase; and then goes to a “decline” phase Then it enters a “plateau” phase, which is basically a remission phase, and then a “decline” phase. The first step for any country to prevent and control is to slow down the upward curve, then slowly flatten it, and then slowly press down from flat.

Harvard epidemiologist Dr. Eric Feigl-Ding warned on the 6th: Because the variant virus is extremely infectious, in the next few weeks, only if the pandemic infection rate (R value) is suppressed to a level like the “purple line” (R = 0.7), we will be saved; otherwise, by spring, it will be “totally screwed”.