As Beijing still hasn’t put its heart in its stomach over the confirmation of Biden as president by a joint session of the U.S. House and Senate, the Trump administration has once again dealt a blow to the Chinese Communist Party. on Jan. 9, Secretary of State Pompeo tweeted, “Today, I am lifting all self-imposed restrictions on executive branch agencies’ interactions with their Taiwanese counterparts. This move will benefit both of our great democracies.”
In a statement issued by the State Department, Pompeo laid out the rationale for the removal of “Taiwan‘s reputation as a vibrant democracy and a reliable partner of the United States,” in response to complex internal restrictions that have been in place for decades to regulate the interaction of U.S. diplomats, military personnel and other officials with their Taiwanese counterparts. “The U.S. government took these actions unilaterally to appease the Communist regime in Beijing, but (now) will no longer do so,” and that “our two democracies share common values of individual liberty, the rule of law, and respect for human dignity.” And with Pompeo’s statement, all previous “engagement guidelines” between U.S. executive branch agencies and Taiwan will be null and void.
Pompeo’s rationale for lifting restrictions on U.S.-Taiwan relations sends a very clear message to Beijing and the world: First, Taiwan and the United States are democracies that share the same values, and the United States will fully enhance U.S.-Taiwan relations to demonstrate its support for Taiwan.
Two, the Communist regime in Beijing is a regime that does not respect freedom, the rule of law, or respect for human dignity. Although the United States confirmed the “One China Policy” and recognized the “Government of the People’s Republic of China as the sole legitimate government of China” in accordance with the three U.S.-China Joint Communiqués after the establishment of diplomatic relations between the United States and China, the United States has always considered the three communiqués and the six U.S. pledges to Taiwan to be policy statements that do not have the status of “one China”. However, the United States has always maintained that the three communiqués and the six U.S. assurances to Taiwan are policy statements and do not have mandatory effect. However, past U.S. administrations have exercised self-restraint in their relations with Taiwan to appease the Chinese Communist regime.
Now, the Trump administration, which is firmly anti-communist, is determined to lift the self-restraint and juxtapose the communist regime in Beijing with the democratic regime in Taiwan, which is in fact an indication of the U.S. attitude and its intention to recognize the ROC government as the legitimate regime representing China under the “One China” framework.
This is supported by the fact that just two days before Pompeo’s statement, the U.S. Mission to the United Nations released on its official website a statement that U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Kelly Craft will visit Taiwan from January 13 to 15 to meet with senior Taiwanese officials and diplomats, adding that “the Ambassador will strengthen the U.S. government’s firm and continued support for Taiwan’s international space in accordance with the U.S. One-China policy guided by the Taiwan Relations Act, the three U.S.-China Joint Communiqués, and the Six Assurances to Taiwan.
In other words, the Trump administration will stand firmly behind Taiwan in the United Nations and support Taiwan’s access to appropriate rights, and may even return Taiwan to the UN in due course, reenacting the scene of the 1970s when the Communist Party of China replaced the Republic of China in the UN, only with swapped roles.
So how can the Taiwan regime be recognized by the international community in place of the Chinese Communist regime? I don’t know if you remember Pompeo’s speech last November in which he listed the Chinese Communist regime alongside Iranian terrorist organizations, but after the crackdown on protests in Hong Kong in 2019, more than a million people launched a sign-up campaign on the U.S. White House petition website We the People to demand that the U.S. government officially designate the The U.S. Embassy retweeted Pompeo’s tweet suggesting that the CCP is a terrorist organization.
This suggests that the day is not far off when the U.S. will openly define the CCP as a terrorist organization, especially after the repeated signals from Trump, Pompeo and other U.S. dignitaries to stand strong against the CCP using viruses and collusion with the U.S. deep state to scour the U.S. and U.S. elections.
Once the CCP is defined as a terrorist organization, the legitimacy of its regime will also be questioned by the international community. Not only that, the U.S. will certainly take a series of measures against it, such as U.S. companies and individuals are not allowed to provide any type of support or resources to it or companies under its control, including financial services, training equipment, expert advice, weapons or their transportation. CCP officials and their traders are subject to civil or criminal prosecution and punishment, and any foreign representatives of the CCP or companies under its control are barred from entering or remaining in the United States.
Those governments that wish to continue their relationship with the terrorist regime will have to consider whether they can avoid the corresponding U.S. sanctions, as would be the case if the U.S. had declared the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps a terrorist organization. At that time, many countries will still have to distance themselves from the Chinese Communist Party.
This wave of U.S. support for Taiwan under the “One China” framework is welcomed and welcomed by the Taiwanese government, which “looks forward to the continued strengthening and growth of the Taiwan-U.S. partnership in the foreseeable future,” naturally driving the Chinese Communist regime crazy. How will Zhongnanhai respond?
On January 10, before the CCP’s Foreign Ministry had responded, the CCP’s Global Times furiously published an editorial article: “Pompeo may make Taiwan authorities’ days count down”. The article first altered the original English version of “Beijing’s communist regime” and used only the word “Beijing” to deceive readers, which shows that the CCP is well aware of its own evil communist face.
It then screams, “(This is) yet another crazy dig and mine by Pompeo for China-US relations and Taiwan, which is a criminal structural damage to cross-strait peace and bottom-line stability of China-US relations, with unpredictable serious consequences.” The article also speculates that the U.S. may make further big moves, such as Pompeo’s surprise visit to Taiwan, creating a fait accompli of serious escalation of official contacts between the U.S. and Taiwan.
The Chinese Communist Party then threatened the U.S. side to “pull back from the brink,” saying that if it dares to let Pompeo visit Taiwan on the eve of the end of his term, Beijing’s response “will be overwhelming” and that Communist Party warplanes “will fly over Taiwan at the first time to declare the Communist Party’s sovereignty over the island in an unprecedented manner,” and that “if the Taiwan and U.S. sides dare to react too aggressively, it is likely to trigger a war,” threatening to give “fundamental punishment to the Taiwan authorities” and bring them “the ultimate disaster.
The Global Times’ clamor and threat is just a stern one. Since the Trump administration has chosen to operate in this manner, it is naturally guaranteed by the strong strength of the U.S. military, and Taiwan’s own military strength is not weak. If a war breaks out in the Taiwan Strait, how sure is the Chinese Communist Party of internal and external problems to win?
Earlier, there were analyses that Xi Jinping had a plan to resolve Taiwan by force during his term of office, that is, “if Sino-US relations continue to deteriorate due to trade wars and other geopolitical games, and lead to a sharp decline or even collapse of the Chinese economy, Xi Jinping may use the recovery of Taiwan to divert the discontent and resentment of the Chinese dynasty and the public”. However, after the U.S. Congress passed the Taipei Act in March this year, the Chinese Communist Party’s response was somewhat weak, with the spokespersons of the Foreign Ministry and the Taiwan Affairs Office of the Communist Party of China (Taiwan), in addition to “resolutely opposing” it, not having the usual “China will respond forcefully, and the U.S. side should fully understand the consequences. The Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman and the spokesman of the State Council’s Taiwan Affairs Office, besides “resolutely opposing”, did not have the hysterical screams of “China will respond forcefully and the U.S. side should fully understand the consequences”, not to mention the act of waging war.
This time, the Trump administration has gone further, intending to recognize the Taiwan regime as the only legitimate regime representing China, touching the sensitive point of the Chinese Communist Party, and in early January, Xi Jinping has just issued a mobilization order for war preparation, under the frenzy of Zhongnanhai, the small probability of igniting a war is not unlikely, but the chances of winning are basically none.
First of all, from the military strength, the Chinese Communist Party and the U.S. military in many aspects of strength gap is huge, the United States not only has a strong combat aircraft carriers, but also the powerful intelligence capabilities of the Air Force, and Taiwan’s local military technology is not weak. In contrast, the Chinese Communist Party’s internal military is unstable, how many people can and are willing to serve is unknown, land, sea and air combat capabilities are difficult to say, and technological capabilities against the U.S. military is also child’s play. If a war is launched, it is probable that the Chinese Communist Party will lose its troops.
Secondly, the Chinese Communist Party is internally disorganized, while the people’s hearts are lost. In China’s rapid economic decline, the people’s livelihood, the CPC initiative to provoke a war in the Taiwan Strait, in addition to attracting national opposition, the CPC party “anti-Xi” forces are likely to take the opportunity to make waves, Xi’s regime may be difficult to protect.
Third, if the Chinese Communist Party virus attacks the army, the Communist Party will be defeated without a fight, just as half of the army guarding the capital died of the plague in the late Ming Dynasty.
As for Beijing, if it wants to use nuclear weapons, it must first weigh whether it can withstand a nuclear strike and thunderbolt action by the United States. To be sure, as soon as Zhongnanhai takes this step, it will have sealed its own end. Can’t the Chinese Communist regime, which is dying on both sides, see that its end is near?
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