After the diagnosis of Wuhan pneumonia (a novel coronavirus disease, COVID-9), U.S. President Donald Trump’s campaign was suspended, and his election campaign was generally not well received. However, the Democracy Institute, a think tank with offices in Washington and London, and the Sunday Express, a British newspaper, have conducted a new study after Trump was diagnosed with Wuhan pneumonia (a new form of coronavirus disease, COVID-9). According to polls, Trump leads Biden by 4 points in the polls in six swing states, and is expected to take 320 electoral votes, beating Biden, who has 218 electoral votes.
According to the Sunday Express 4, the latest survey of the U.S. presidential election conducted by the Institute for Democracy Studies, which has successfully predicted Brexit and Trump’s 2016 election, shows that Trump’s national approval rating is 46%, while Biden’s is 45%, down 2% from last month. It is worth noting that in the six swing states of Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, Trump’s average approval rating reached 47%, leading Biden’s 43%, and the gap between the two sides remained unchanged.
In response to Trump’s diagnosis, 68 percent of voters said it would not affect their voting intentions, and 19 percent said they were more likely to vote for Trump, while 13 percent preferred not to vote for him. Another two-thirds of voters have sympathy and concern for Trump, but 38% also believe that he has suffered a terrible fate.
The organization noted that their survey was conducted with “likely voters”, not all registered voters. The poll also asked respondents who had not yet decided to vote, whether their friends and relatives intend to vote for Trump, and 77% responded positively. The poll also asked about Trump’s administration, with 50% approving and 48% disapproving.
Despite the controversy caused by the nomination of judges, the first presidential debate, but the survey said almost no impact on the election, but instead 32% of American voters believe that the anti-racist demonstrations violent “law and order” issues, is its primary concern. On economic issues, 70% of voters believe the U.S. economy is recovering, and 60% trust Trump, far more than Biden’s 40%.
In addition, in terms of white voters, support for Trump and Biden are 52% to 45%; in terms of African Americans, only 18% support Trump, 78% support Biden; in terms of Hispanics, support for Trump is 40%, Biden is 50%.
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