After the wreckage of the Long March 5B launch vehicle crashed into the Indian Ocean, a crisis has finally passed, and the Chinese Communist Party media’s propaganda about the space station has largely subsided. The Chinese Communist Party is obviously unable to continue to promote the achievements of the space station, as it cannot even know the exact whereabouts of the rocket wreckage.
The crisis has come to an end, but the space technology that the CCP has repeatedly boasted about has suddenly been revealed. Many people should know that the Chinese Communist Party is not the leader in space technology, but I am afraid they do not know the exact extent of the gap. In fact, you don’t need to master much space technology, just some basic facts to see how big the gap is.
3 hours before the fall of the rocket still can not accurately predict
On April 29, the Chinese Communist Party claimed that the Long March 5B Yao-2 launch vehicle had successfully launched the core module of the space station, starting a high-profile political campaign as if it was really some kind of remarkable achievement. However, the world soon tracked the possible risks posed by the return of the approximately 22-ton Long March 5B rocket wreckage to the atmosphere, and the CCP then busied itself with denials but delayed announcing the results of the tracking.
It was only on May 9, the day the wreckage fell, that the Chinese Communist Party’s Manned Space Office issued an announcement, saying that based on the 7:24 p.m. position, the estimated fall area at 10:12 ± 15 minutes was 28.38°E, 34.43°N, or the Mediterranean region.
But this announcement was clearly wrong. Subsequently, the CCP Manned Spaceflight Office issued another announcement, saying that at 10:24, the rocket wreckage fell into the Indian Ocean region at 72.47°E, 2.65°N.
Three hours before the rocket fell into the sea, the Chinese Communist Party said it would fall into the Mediterranean Sea; three hours later, the rocket actually fell into the Indian Ocean, with such a large error, which shows the real ability of the Chinese Communist Party’s space tracking and calculation.
“International practice”, but the Chinese Communist Party can not do
On May 7, at a press conference of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Communist Party of China (CPC), in response to a question about the wreckage of the Long March 5 rocket, spokesman Wang Wenbin said, “It is an internationally accepted practice for the upper stage of the rocket to re-enter the atmosphere and be ablated and destroyed,” and that “the vast majority of the components will be ablated and destroyed during re-entry, and the probability of causing harm to aviation activities and the ground is extremely low. The probability of harm to aviation activities and the ground is extremely low.
While it is true that all countries burn their launch vehicle wreckage upon re-entry, the CCP’s practice is not “internationally accepted”. Currently, all countries use 2-stage rockets, and because the wreckage is small, it is indeed burned when it returns to the atmosphere, but the Chinese Communist Party’s Long March 5B rocket uses a 1.5-stage rocket, resulting in a wreckage of about 22 tons, which cannot be completely burned. Of course, the Chinese Communist Party will not admit that the rocket technology is backward, but it is indeed not an “internationally accepted practice”.
In addition, if countries know that a spacecraft is too heavy to enter the atmosphere and burn up completely, they will design it to fall into a large uninhabited area in the southern Indian Ocean. The Chinese Communist Party has always denied that the rocket wreckage was out of control, but it really could not control the rocket wreckage to fall into the designated area, so it is clear how the Chinese Communist Party’s space technology really is.
The Chinese Communist Party has known the danger of rocket wreckage
The Chinese Communist Party said that the probability of the rocket wreckage falling “is extremely low”, but this is not true.
The rocket launch was scheduled at the Wenchang launch center on Hainan Island, rather than an inland launch center, in order to avoid the possibility of rocket debris falling on the Chinese mainland. The launch on Hainan Island should be to the sea, the possibility of wreckage falling on mainland China is almost gone, but South Asian countries are at risk, once the launch fails, the Philippines, Indonesia and other countries are likely to be hit, Australia, Papua New Guinea are also within the scope.
In August 2020, the Chinese Communist Party revealed that it had launched two Dongfeng missiles into the South China Sea, while the U.S. military said it had launched four, two Dongfeng-26B missiles that should have been launched from Qinghai and two Dongfeng-21D missiles that should have been launched from Zhejiang. Subsequently, there were internet pictures showing suspected East Wind missile wreckage falling into Guangxi. The Chinese Communist Party cannot control the wreckage of the launch vehicle, nor can it control the wreckage of the ballistic missile, and may not even control the missile flight trajectory at all. If the Chinese Communist Party really launches a missile saturation attack, I’m afraid it will be difficult to know where it might end up, and perhaps the U.S. aircraft carrier will not be hit, but the Chinese mainland will be wrecked.
China’s launch vehicle technology originally came from the former Soviet Union, including ballistic missile technology, and later tried to steal and imitate U.S. technology. On July 2, 2017, the Long March 5 rocket failed to launch and the wreckage fell into the Marianas Trench, where it could not be recovered, forcing the design to zero out. on November 30, 2018, the rocket’s engines failed again during a test run, zeroing out for the second time. The Long March 5 rocket is not much new technology, but still has repeated problems, this time sending the load into the sky but still unable to control where the rocket wreckage landed.
At a May 10 press conference at the Chinese Foreign Ministry, spokeswoman Hua Chunying insisted on the “international practice” in the face of questions. The Chinese Communist Party, of course, knows what “internationally accepted practice” really is, but it just can’t do it. In order to start political propaganda for the space station as soon as possible, the Communist Party’s top brass, desperate for good news at this time and perhaps under political pressure, rushed the launch knowing that it could not control where the rocket wreckage would land.
A year ago, in mid-May 2020, the wreckage of the Long March 5B remote rocket fell near the Ivory Coast, and local residents claimed that a metal object had fallen to the ground, so the probability of harm was not “extremely low,” as the CCP said.
Behind the Chinese Communist Space Race
Following in the footsteps of the Soviet Union, the CCP’s eagerness to publicize political news, regardless of the technological backwardness and possible harm to humans, led to this accident and completely exposed the true level of the CCP’s space technology.
After the collapse of the former Soviet Union, the Chinese Communist Party had its eyes on the former Soviet experts in the CIS, and should have basically gotten the technical information of the former Soviet space and space stations long ago. It has been 30 years since the collapse of the former Soviet Union, yet the CCP is far from reaching the former Soviet Union’s level of manned spaceflight. The former Soviet Union had launched a space race with the United States, but repeatedly lost, because too much political pressure, repeatedly risked in the case of immature technology, and eventually saw the United States repeatedly successful moon landings, the former Soviet Union could only be forced to give up the moon landing program, and turned to the space station race, unjustifiably cost a lot of money, resources, and also became a major reason for the dissolution.
The former Soviet Union did not achieve the moon landing, and the Chinese Communist Party is currently unable to land on the moon, and can only continue to imitate the former Soviet Union’s space station program. Trump has reverted to his Cold War strategy, and the U.S. is planning to return to the moon and establish bases. Whether or not it ultimately succeeds, it is actually dragging the CCP into a deeper space race. The Chinese Communist Party leaders know this, but they still need such political good news to stick it to themselves, so to speak.
The CCP has repeatedly bragged about how advanced space technology is, but it has never been able to build large aircraft, and mainland Chinese airlines still have to buy large passenger planes from Boeing in the United States or Airbus in Europe. The Chinese Communist Party tries to play up human spaceflight technology, but it has watched American astronauts keep shuttling to the International Space Station, and Japan has not only participated in the construction, launch and docking of space station modules, but also Japanese astronauts have long been on the space station and have been undertaking cargo launch missions.
The rocket wreckage crisis caused by the Chinese Communist Party’s technological backwardness is not the most worrying for the world. The Chinese Communist Party’s space operations are all controlled by the military, with military use being the real purpose, and are therefore excluded from cooperation on the ISS. The CCP’s space technology is not advanced, but the CCP has no human bottom line and is probably at the forefront of space destruction. The CCP’s slogan has always been “smashing an old world and building a new one”, although the CCP has no idea how to “build a new world”, but is bent on smashing everything, including “international common practice”. “This is what countries should be most worried about.
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