This new Cold War is characterized by confrontation between democracies and authoritarian regimes; both fierce confrontation and cooperation; a democratic alliance formed by the United States and Western allies of the same values against a coalition of authoritarian regimes with different values formed by China.
The Biden administration has a set of new Cold War strategies, the core of which is to unite allies to uphold universal values against China as well as authoritarian regimes such as Russia and North Korea. Although the Trump administration has had immediate results in pressuring the CCP through trade wars, it has obvious shortcomings, one being that it is fighting alone and the other not taking the moral high ground.
Xi Jinping, naturally aware of Biden’s sophistication, sought to rip apart the US and the EU by reaching an investment agreement with the EU before Biden took power. On March 18, Yang Jiechi and Wang Yi’s fury in Alaska and the Chinese Communist Party‘s counter-sanctions against the EU brought the China-EU trade and investment agreement to a halt.
Faced with a sharp turn in the international situation, Xi Jinping apparently did not reckon and lost his way in and out. In his haste, he once again made a dizzying move, using the official media to mobilize pink nationalist sentiment to launch an attack on the Swedish clothing brand H&M, which had stated a year earlier that it refused to use Xinjiang cotton, and allowed pink to extend the blow to Nike, Adidas, Uniqlo, Zara and many other international brands. But this farce soon ended, because the situation forced people strong, currently unwilling to decouple from China is left with these international companies, and then the fuss, can really be alone.
In the face of the U.S. drive, Xi Jinping has been forced to form his own “China Pact” to resist the U.S. democratic alliance. What is the Chinese Communist Party’s “China Pact”? What do you think of the Chinese Communist Party’s “China Pact”? Can it stand up to the U.S. Democratic Alliance? Let me share my views.
First, the U.S. and China are engaged in intensive diplomatic activities
After the Alaska talks broke up, Blinken went to the European Union and NATO to seek support from allies to discuss ways to deal with the Chinese Communist Party. 24, Blinken gave a speech at a meeting with NATO allies in which he criticized the Chinese Communist Party in harsh terms and called on allies to take a united stand. Biden joined a video summit of 27 EU leaders on the 25th after an eleven-year hiatus, calling on allies to work together to address the challenges of China and Russia.
Meanwhile, the Chinese Communist Party is seeking support from its own partners to counterbalance the influence of the United States and the West. 23, Wang Yi and Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov met in Guilin, mainland China. After the meeting, a joint Russian-Chinese statement said: “We oppose the politicization of human rights issues, reject interference in the internal affairs of other countries and double standards through human rights issues, and conduct dialogue in this field on the basis of equality and mutual respect for the benefit of all peoples. After that, Wang visited six Middle East countries, namely Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Iran, the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain and Oman.
David Pollock, a senior Middle East expert at the Washington Institute, a U.S. think tank, noted that the Chinese Communist Party does want to show the outside world that the issue of the Uighurs in Xinjiang does not prevent it from maintaining friendly relations with many countries with majority Muslim populations, including very Islamist countries such as Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Iran. But this was not the main purpose of Wang Yi’s trip, because before that, the CCP had used its economic advantage to successfully silence many Muslim countries on the Xinjiang Uighur issue. in July 2019, Beijing succeeded in getting a dozen member states of the Organization of Islamic Cooperation to sign a statement supporting China’s policy in Xinjiang. What exactly is the CCP’s aim?
Second, the Chinese Communist Party has formed a “Warsaw Pact” alliance
Some viewers may ask, “Is the “Warsaw Pact” you are referring to the post-World War II Warsaw Pact? As we all know, the Warsaw Pact was a political and military alliance of communist countries established to counter the power of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, the Western capitalist camp, which was dissolved in 1991 with the collapse of the Soviet Union and the dramatic changes in Eastern Europe. But the “Warsaw Pact” I am referring to is not this “Warsaw Pact”, but the Communist Party of China-led coalition against Western autocratic regimes in the world, whose members are China, Russia, North Korea, Iran and some Third World countries.
Wang Yi arrived in Iran on the 26th. Iran’s state news agency reported that the two countries will sign a 25-year cooperation agreement. In early July last year, Iranian Foreign Minister Zarif told the country’s parliament that China and Iran were negotiating a “25-year strategic agreement. At the Time, the BBC obtained an 18-page draft text that said China would be given the right to purchase Iranian oil on a sustainable basis and would become a major investor in Iran’s economy and a key partner in the security and political spheres. The New York Times also obtained a Persian version of the agreement and reported in detail that it includes billions of dollars worth of economic cooperation as well as close military cooperation programs.
Since the West has imposed trade sanctions on Iran, China’s cooperation agreement with Iran will directly challenge Western sanctions, with obvious confrontational implications. But China’s formation of a “Warsaw Pact” to confront the West is not a Chinese emergency, Xi Jinping has long been in the planning and operation, but it has not attracted the attention of the West.
Back in July 2017, Xi Jinping visited Moscow and signed two important documents with Putin, namely the Joint Statement on Further Deepening the Comprehensive Strategic Partnership and the Joint Statement on the Current World Situation and Major International Issues.
We can say that the signing of these two declarations marked the formation of the axis of evil between China and Russia. In his article “The Formation of the Sino-Russian Axis of Evil”, independent scholar Mr. Zheng Lin points out that this axis of evil is not a hegemonic alliance in the traditional sense, which only seizes territory and other benefits for itself with endless greed and super strength; nor is it like Germany, Italy and Japan, which want to rule the world with racism and fascism. The Sino-Russian alliance today is mainly manifested as a subversion of the universal principles of humanity. The so-called axis of evil means that China and Russia are tied together to subvert modern civilizational norms such as democracy, human rights, international rule of law and international intervention based on human morality, and to deceive the world with a set of hypocritical rhetoric, using “multipolarity,” “non-interference in internal affairs” and “respect for the independent choice of development path of each country. In the name of “multipolarity,” “non-interference in internal affairs,” and “respect for the independent choice of development paths of each country,” etc., the world seeks to reestablish the world order on this basis, fundamentally challenging the constitutional democratic system, liberal democratic values, and the principles of global governance based on them.
The formation of the axis of evil is reflected in five aspects. First, the establishment of a political bondage based on “mutual trust”. Second, the alignment of their economic strategies. Third, to join forces in the field of security and establish a high level of strategic mutual trust and military cooperation. “The two sides noted that in the face of current common security risks and challenges, and based on the high level of political and strategic mutual trust between the two countries, the two sides will continue to attach great importance to and vigorously promote cooperation in the security field with the goal of maintaining common security, and make joint efforts to address the challenges of traditional and non-traditional security threats. Fourth, the development of “humanistic exchanges”, broadening and deepening the “civil base” of Sino-Russian cooperation, and jointly building the “cultural soft power” of Russia and China. Fifth, and a more obvious sign of the formation of the axis of evil, is that Russia and China will coordinate their positions in international forums and speak with one voice “on the basis of the common experience of the two countries in developing and maintaining new types of state relations”.
In 2019, Xi and Putin signed another joint statement on the development of a new era of comprehensive strategic cooperative partnership between China and Russia and a joint statement on strengthening contemporary global strategic stability between China and Russia.
The Chinese Communist Party and Soviet Russia used to be former communist allies. In the domestic political sphere, contempt for and violation of human rights, freedom, and civil society were features shared by the rulers of China and Russia. It is also the common evil pursuit that makes China and Russia form an alliance again today. This is a challenge of autocracy to democracy.
Third, can the Chinese “China Pact” overcome the Western democratic alliance?
I do not think so. For one thing, the U.S. democratic alliance has the same universal values. Although the member countries have different competing interests, they will be united by their common philosophy in the face of the strong rise of the Chinese authoritarian regime. However, China’s “China Pact” does not share common values, and authoritarianism is their common feature. This determines that the “China Pact” is just wishful thinking and deception of the Chinese people to maintain their rule. Secondly, the “China Pact” is linked by interests, so it is difficult to form a fighting force. Take Russia as an example, today’s Russia is different from the former Soviet Union. Russia has long since abandoned Marxism-Leninism and returned to chauvinism of the great powers. China, on the other hand, still Dreams of becoming the leader of the Communist International. Russia does not trust China, and when the new crown Epidemic broke out, the first to impose a blockade on the borders of mainland China were North Korea and Russia.
After his speech at the 2019 St. Petersburg Investment Forum, Putin answered the question “Which side do you support in the trade war between the United States and China?” When asked, Putin said in his heart, “Let’s sit on the mountain and watch the tiger fight and see who wins.” This caused the whole audience to laugh. Xi Jinping’s heart is cold and cold, think when Russia was sanctioned by the West, the Chinese Communist Party is throwing 300 billion dollars to buy Russian oil for its blood, but now is actually Putin so mocked, really plucked the feathers of the phoenix is worse than chicken.
Russian political scientist Solovy said that the Chinese Communist Party is only a partner of Russia, but not an ally. Both sides use each other and need each other. Russia’s needs are the same as those of the CCP, and Russia also needs a solid backbone in China as it confronts the West. According to political scientist Hu Ping, China and Russia are “incompatible”. The U.S., China and Russia are in fact a tripod, with the U.S. and China mainly confronting each other; Russia is basically in the middle, perhaps siding with the U.S. on certain issues, but generally speaking it will not side with any side. As for, North Korea is more of a parasite dependent on the Chinese Communist Party. But Kim Jong-un is not willing to be the CCP’s little brother, as evidenced by his many meetings with President Trump.
Now, let’s summarize. Faced with the strong rise of totalitarian China, Western countries, led by the United States, are forming a democratic alliance to jointly confront Chinese hegemony in order to preserve their common values and international order. Faced with a rapidly changing international situation, the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), not to be outdone, is also forming a “Warsaw Pact” alliance in response. But the different values and deep internal contradictions determine that the “China Pact” is just a diplomatic show. Xinjiang, Hong Kong, Taiwan and the South China Sea are red lines that Xi will not budge on, but the sanctions imposed on the CCP by the U.S. and its Western allies also show that universal values are the bottom line they cannot abandon. The era of separating human rights from the economy is over, and the U.S. and its allies’ democratic alliance will face off against the Chinese Communist Party’s “China Pact.
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