After the change of government in the United States, rumors spread that the Chinese Communist Party would attack Taiwan within two years. Some experts quoted the Chinese military top brass as saying that Xi Jinping believes the Communist army is ready to take Taiwan within two years. Military experts say that the Communist Party is “reluctant” to attack Taiwan within two years because the Communist army is not strong enough and a failed attack would affect the Communist Party’s position in power on the mainland.
Roll call, a biweekly newspaper specializing in congressional news, published a report titled “Panel of Experts: China (CCP) Likely to Attack Taiwan in Five Years. The report quoted Stanford University scholar Oriana Skylar Mastro, who specializes in China’s military power, as saying at a video conference of the U.S.-China Economic and Security Assessment Commission on the 18th of this month that the current U.S. ability to assist Taiwan in deterring mainland aggression is “unquestionably the weakest it has been since the Korean War. “.
Mei Hui-lin said the U.S. has failed to build a strong alliance to deal with China’s (CCP) regional aggression and Xi Jinping’s personal ambitions, allowing China (CCP) to show military modernization and see more to gain than to lose by using force against Taiwan.
Mei Hui Lin said that a senior Communist military official told her that Xi Jinping now believes that the Communist army can invade Taiwan within two years. Some experts at the public hearing also said the U.S. and Taiwan could start bilateral talks while including Taiwan in the Biden administration’s attempt to revive multilateral trade agreements.
Apple Daily 25 reported that military expert Huang Dong told the newspaper that the Chinese Communist Party would be “reluctant” to attack Taiwan within two years because, first of all, the hardware would not allow it, including the lack of amphibious assault ships and the lack of news on the construction of large military ships and artificial ports.
Huang Dong also believes that the CPC needs to observe the new U.S. administration’s attitude toward the situation in the Taiwan Strait.
Li Zhengxiu, an associate researcher at Taiwan’s National Policy Research Foundation, also told the Apple Daily that Xi knows that he needs to be fully confident in attacking Taiwan first, because if the attack fails, not only may he never be able to occupy Taiwan, but it may also affect the CCP’s ruling position in mainland China. He believes that it is less likely that the Chinese Communist Party will attack Taiwan in the next two years.
Not long ago, Bernard Cole, a professor at the National War College, said he did not think the Communist Party would launch a direct, large-scale amphibious assault on Taiwan, and that a sneak attack was more likely.
On Jan. 23, the Communist Party sent eight “Boom 6K” bombers, four “J-16” warplanes and a “Carrier 8” anti-submarine aircraft to Taiwan from the border of Guangdong and Fujian provinces. On January 23rd, the Communist Party sent eight “Boom 6K” bombers, four “J-16” warplanes, and one “Carrier 8” anti-submarine aircraft to fly into Taiwan’s air defense identification zone from the junction of Guangdong and Fujian provinces. This is the highest single-day sortie by the Communist forces since last year, and the first Time that bombers and warplanes were used to disturb Taiwan.
The USS Roosevelt battle group then entered the South China Sea to begin its daily drills. Some sources said that Chinese Air Force warplanes began flying intensively in the vicinity and even began drills to attack the aircraft carrier. The situation in the Taiwan Strait is clearly getting tense.
Some analyses say that the biggest obstacle for the CCP to move against Taiwan is not the Taiwan Strait, but the United States. The goal of almost all the weaponry developed by the CCP is to counteract the involvement of the U.S. military. Over the past 20 years, the CCP has continued to significantly increase its defense budget, purchase advanced weapons and technology, and develop new equipment on its own, all to counter the United States. But the difference in military power between the CCP and the United States is too great.
Recent Comments