The decennial census was completed last year, and while the final report is still being compiled, government statisticians have gotten a glimpse of recent trends from preliminary data: an aging population that is also more diverse and not as mobile as it once was.
First, experts found that the post-World War II trend of explosive population growth has long been a thing of the past. from July 2019 to July 2020, the U.S. population will increase by only 0.35%, which is the smallest increase since the annual population growth rate began to be recorded in 1900.
The trend over the past decade has been a follow-on effect of the Great Recession: birth rates have fallen sharply, and new immigration, the largest source of population growth, has been drastically reduced by the Trump administration’s tough repression. In addition, the post-war baby boom has also entered a phase of withering and passing away.
Brookings Institute statistics expert Fury (William Frey) said that the 2010s can be described as a decade of fewer births, more deaths and uneven immigration.
Statistics show that in this decade, the population over 55 years old increased by 27%, while other age groups increased by only 1.3%. This trend may continue, by 2060, the U.S. population will increase to 404 million; if the number of immigrants like the previous years, it will only increase to 376 million.
The trend is that the white population is decreasing year by year, with 16,000 fewer non-Hispanic whites in 2019 than in 2010. While this is within the margin of error of a total population of 328 million, it is the first Time in U.S. history that the total number of whites has decreased. From 1970 to 1980, whites increased by 11.2 million.
The average age of whites was 43.7 years, Latinos 29.8 years, and African-Americans 34.8 years, showing that the rate of women suitable for childbearing is lower for whites.
In the past decade, the U.S. population increased by 19.5 million, since the white population has not increased but decreased, indicating that the added population is mostly minorities: 10 million Hispanics, 4.3 million Asians and 3.2 million African-Americans.
The large increase in the Hispanic or Latino population is noteworthy because new immigrants of this ethnicity were the main cause of the increase from the 1980s to the 2000s, and now that they have established roots, their own growth is sufficient to explain the increase in population.
As younger generations grow up, America will become more diverse, and the “post-Z generation” born after 2013 will be the generation that flips the mainstream-minority population. Less than half of the children who will celebrate their eighth birthday this year are non-Hispanic white, while 71.6 percent of the aging baby boomers are white.
There is also a trend for women of child-bearing age to delay pregnancy and childbirth from their 20s to after age 35. The increase in the number of people living with their Parents, regardless of gender, is one of the reasons why women are delaying childbirth.
High housing prices and low incomes have resulted in a “boomerang generation” living with their parents back Home, which has also resulted in lower social mobility. Last year, only 9.3% of Americans changed their address, the lowest percentage since the survey began in 1947.
The mobility of young people determines the rise and fall of a region. They are moving to the “Sun Belt” and western states, while the Northeast, “Rust Belt” and Inland South are losing population in 31 states and gaining population in 19 other states and Washington, D.C.
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